12 September 2026

Sarah Paine explains

Sarah Paine explains it all for you. I really like her. 



It's long past time to 
IMPEACH, CONVICT AND REMOVE
the madman Trump.

11 September 2026

Nick Lane: Why life is the way it is.

This is really fascinating. A long lecture, but the subject matter is cutting edge and Lane really is a world class expert on the subject. Perhaps not for everyone. 


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It's long past time to 
IMPEACH, CONVICT AND REMOVE
the madman Trump.

10 September 2026

Trump's promise of a $5000 bribe to vote for Repubs

I was almost literally gobsmacked by the Dear Leader's promise of an outright bribe for people to vote for his Fascist Party in the midterm election. But I'm somewhat less concerned when it became pretty clear that only the uttermost cultists of MAGA take this seriously. The reality is that Trump's credibility has already reached pretty much zero among people who aren't totally brainwashed. And that actually includes most of the people who voted for him. Almost no one believes there is any reality to this pathetic bribe attempt. 


 

09 September 2026

Oregon protecting the right to vote

State officials here in Oregon are on top of making sure that vote by mail works. Oregon, if you don't know, is the first state to go 100% vote by mail, about 30 years ago.  


It's long past time to 
IMPEACH, CONVICT AND REMOVE
the madman Trump.

08 September 2026

The REALLY long view

I know I harp on this subject, but if you're not interested, just delete. My friend Rick sent this link about an idea for searching the Moon's regolith for telltale forensic evidence of alien technology. Which is not a crazy idea, but here's my take (link to the original article). 


I regard this as an enormous long shot. Possibly worth adding to an existiung mission, especially as a large lunar regolith sample would probably have multiple research uses. But I'd rate the chances of success at close to zero. Admittedly, I have a bias. I'm convinced that once really advanced technology spreads out into the space of several star systems, it will continue to evolve, just as life on Earth has continued to evolve over billions of years... and that it eventually fills its entire galaxy and even nearby galaxies. It's an evolutionary imperative: fill the available habitat. Seems to be universally true in the evolution of life on Earth. Which fits in with the supposition that life is perhaps common, advanced (complex, multicellular) life is rare, intelligent life is extremely rare, and life that has learned to colonize space is so rare that large swaths of the universe are still virgin territory from that point of view. (This category, for now anyway, does not include Earth's civilization).

From the point of view of habitability for life, the universe is still quite young. It has been habitable to some form of life for perhaps 12 billion years, tops, but the last red dwarf stars capable of providing energy to a civilization hanging on for dear life (literally) will wink out in perhaps 3 to 4 trillion years, and even after that technology may be able to wrest living existence from the ever increasing entropy of what's left. Do the arithmetic: the universe is still in the first 0.03% of its long range period of habitability. It's still in the period where new stars are forming, although interestinghly enough (per Claude and ChatGPT both, about 95% of all stars that will ever form already have). So the universe is in one sense gradually moving into its long maturity, where stars no longer form, and in another sense has barely started it. 


It's long past time to 
IMPEACH, CONVICT AND REMOVE
the madman Trump.

07 September 2026

Pearls tells it like it is.

Thanks to Rick M. for sending me this. 
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It's long past time to 
IMPEACH, CONVICT AND REMOVE
the madman Trump.

The War in Ukraine remains a global threat to peace and stability

Looking at these

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image.png *
*Note that Ukrainian grain exports are also effectively cut off.


... you would think you were justified in concluding that the Ukraine War has turned strongly against Russia, and on the level of Ukraine's ability to attack economic and energy otinside Russia, that is clearly true. But there is a serious danger here. When Russia's leaders feel that they cannot win a conventional war against Ukraine, their aversion to the risk of attacking NATO assets will decline, and we must also bear in mind that this picture misses the one huge advantage the Russians have, even assuming that they continue to rule out the use of tactical nuclear weapons. And that is that they have a huge stockpile of ballistic missiles, with which they are willingly targeting civilian targets in Ukraine. And the Ukrainians have no effective defense against them, since the only really effective interceptor missiles are American Patriots. And rather than sell these to Ukraine, the US regime decided to expend most of the American stockpile of these weapons asymmetrically against much cheaper drone technology in the war of choice in Iran. 

So, at the same time that Ukraine has pretty clearly acquired a significant technological edge, having essentially stopped all commerce in the Sea of Azov and Black Sea, and greatly reduced Russia's ability to sell oil on the world market, the overall situation in this war is probably more dangerous for the entire world right now than at any time since the Russian full scale invasion in 2023. 

In the US we are focused, with justification, on our domestic crisis; on saving the republic from autocracy. But the reality is that in every year since 2023 we have been closer to a global great power war than at any time since 1945. And if anything, the situation is heating up rather than drawing towards a conclusion. It is widely expected that Putin will launch a second mobilization this Fall. That would not likely change the dynamics in Donetsk, where Russia has been effectively stalled for over three years now. Just throwing more poorly trained (and frequently older) men  into the front lines is unlikely to create a major breakthrough. But this war is seen in Europe as a real threat to the entire post-Berlin Wall stability regime. Whatever one's view of Russia's position and its grievances against NATO, the fact is that the situation is more dangerous to peace and stability than it was in 1948, 1956 or 1968, and there is no end in sight. 


It's long past time to 
IMPEACH, CONVICT AND REMOVE
the madman Trump.

05 September 2026

04 September 2026

Senate sweep?

A few comments on the Senate races, probably not of earthshaking insight. 

On election night in November, watch Maine, NH, North Carolina, then Georgia, then Ohio, then Iowa, then Texas, as the night progresses. If Jackson wins in Maine, Pappas in NH (likely win), then Cooper (as is expected) in NC, then we already may be seeing the first signs that the Senate will in fact flip. (Markey in Mass, is expected to win, if he doesn't, that could be a bad sign of course; but if he wins, and if Andrews pulls an offset against Trump's puppet Darline Graham in neighboring SC, we'll be on an almost unstoppable roll). If Ossoff wins as expected in GA, and Brown retakes a Senate seat in Ohio (not that unlikely), then the race to take the Senate will be ours to lose. If Talarico wins, I think it's likely to be a sweep or near sweep of the states we have to win. Turek in Iowa would be a clincher, especially if we also pull off a win for El-Sayed in Michigan. (Which contrary to frankly racist naysaying, is actually fairly likely). Minnesota is an almost for sure win. So, in such a wave, Peltola can be considered likely to win in AK too, and Dems will have retaken the Senate with more than enough votes to overcome the likely defection of Fetterman. None of this is wishful thinking, but it isn't guaranteed or even really likely... we have to work to make it happen. And of course this assumes that the election will mostly take place without massive interference from the regime. Also not guaranteed. 

This may seem ho hum, business as usual if you listen to the legacy media, but I consider winning both houses to be absolutely necessary to the program of retaking then shoring up our democracy, which really is under existential threat right now. 

Please consider contributing to some of these races, especially the shakier ones. Andrews. Sherrod Brown. Troy Jackson. El-Sayed. Turek. Even Osborn in Nebraska (an Independent expected to caucus D), who has a shot.m (Even Kansas is considered "possible"). Talarico. Peltola. Even Nixon in FL is a possible, and if you're a progressive wing Democrat like me it would be great even to make a good showing there. But focusing money and any actual physical help you can give on these more competitive races may be the key to victory in some or even all of them. 




It's long past time to 
IMPEACH, CONVICT AND REMOVE
the madman Trump.

22 August 2026

Trump blows up trade with Canada

I am both saddened and horrified by the actions of my government in destroying our mutually beneficial (by and large) trade relationship with our closest friend and ally heretofore... Canada. There is just no reason or excuse for this and it is yet another reason that Trump and MAGA gotta get goin' right on outta here... and the sooner the better. 

 

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Using LLMs to enhance lifetime learning

I heard an interesting conversation between AI scientist Chandra Sripada and Sean Carroll (the physicist philosopher, not the evolutionary biologist) in which both seemed to agree that for the polymath, or even just the layperson with wide ranging interests, LLMs like Claude and ChatGPT can be absolutely fantastic tutors... they can look up, digest, and re-present the state of knowledge on almost any subject, are infinitely patient, and can actually teach things like mathematical procedures and protocols more effectively than classroom learning. (Mindscape podcast, available widely). I have explored this use myself and it accounts for my largely optimistic attitude towards LLMs. (Which does not necessarily carry over to other forms of AI, where we as a civilization will have to make, and make correctly, a whole series of critical choices in the near future if we want the absorption of AI into our general culture a positive thing, and not a nightmare). 

 

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09 August 2026

Abdul!

Can't help but notice the similarity in accent and cadence between Abdul al-Sayed and Barack Obama. I don't know if it's conscious, but he's very effective in speeches. 

 

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08 August 2026

Q&A with Claude about the origin of Italy (geologically)

Of conceivable interest~~  [My experience is that Claude is pretty good with this kind of thing]:
Q: Is it true that Italy is a piece of Africa that rifted off, crossed the Tethys Seaway, and collided with Europe forming the Alps somewhat analogously to the collision of India that formed the Himalayas, or was it an igneous province or other unit?
Claude's Answer: 
Your instinct is more right than wrong, and the corrections are the interesting part.

Not an igneous province — that one's clean. Adria is ordinary continental crust: Variscan basement under a very thick Mesozoic carbonate platform. The Dolomites and the Apulian limestones are that platform. It's a drowned tropical shelf, not a LIP.

There was a continent, and it did rift from Africa. The current framework, from van Hinsbergen and colleagues (Gondwana Research, 2019), calls it Greater Adria. It separated from Gondwana around 240 Ma, was roughly Greenland-sized, and by ~140 Ma sat mostly underwater as a vast carbonate platform. It drifted north and began colliding with Europe somewhere around 100–120 Ma.

But here's where the India analogy breaks, and it breaks at the most important point. India was thick, buoyant, cratonic crust. It could not subduct, so when it arrived it crumpled Asia and raised the Himalaya while surviving intact as a continent. Greater Adria was mostly thin, stretched, sediment-draped crust — and it went down. The bulk of it was dragged into the mantle, where tomography still images it around 1,500 km deep beneath southern Europe. The Alps, Apennines, Dinarides, and Hellenides are essentially the scrapings: sedimentary cover peeled off the top of a descending slab and stacked against the margin. Same journey, opposite fate. India built a mountain range by refusing to sink; Greater Adria built several by sinking and leaving its skin behind.

"Crossed the Tethys" also overstates the separation. The debate over whether Adria is an African promontory or an independent microplate is genuinely unresolved and depends on which evidence you weight. Paleomagnetism, Sn wave propagation through the Ionian mantle lid, and paleoclimatic data all point to Adria having moved and rotated with Africa since the Jurassic. Geodesy and seismicity say it behaves as a distinct microplate today within the Africa–Eurasia boundary zone. The independent rotation that has been measured is modest — something like 9.5° ± 8.7° counterclockwise for Apulia since the Eocene. So it wasn't a long solo voyage like India's 6,000 km sprint. The ocean that actually closed to make the Alps was the Piemont-Liguria basin (Alpine Tethys), a relatively narrow strand opened around 170–160 Ma as a byproduct of Central Atlantic rifting.

The subduction polarity is also reversed. In the Himalaya, India is both the indenter and the lower plate. In the Alps, Europe subducted beneath Adria — Adria is the indenter and the upper plate. That's why the Alps are doubly vergent, with the Southern Alps forming a south-directed retro-wedge on the Adriatic side.

And Italy is not one thing. This is the part most summaries flatten:

  • Apulia, the Gargano, the Adriatic, the Po Plain, the Southern Alps — Adria proper, Gondwanan affinity. The African piece.
  • The Apennines — not a block at all, but a young accretionary fold-thrust belt assembled by eastward rollback of the Adriatic slab.
  • Sardinia and Corsica — pieces of Europe. They were attached to southern France and rotated counterclockwise roughly 45° as the Liguro-Provençal basin opened, mostly between about 21 and 15 Ma.
  • Calabria and northeastern Sicily — European-affinity crystalline basement, rafted southeast by rollback of the Ionian slab.
  • Western Sicily — Maghrebian, African affinity.

So the honest version: the heel and spine of the boot are African, the western islands are detached France, Calabria is a wandering shard of Europe that ended up on the wrong side, and the Apennines are the wreckage of a continent that mostly isn't there anymore.

Sources: van Hinsbergen et al. 2019 — Science news coverage · National Geographic on Greater Adria · Adria microplate: a puzzling key stone in west-central Mediterranean geodynamics · Did Adria rotate relative to Africa? · Le Breton et al. — Post-20 Ma motion of the Adriatic plate



 

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Historoy of Garlic

I always thoutht the iconic L.A. garlic restaurant (yes, for real)... The Stinking Rose... was misnamed, since garlic is a lily, not a rose. (I believe it's no longer there). I have long thought that both garlic and onions, along with indoor plumbing, are true hallmarks of genuine civilization. Sine qua non, even.

 

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asking ai about actual science

I have a modest late in life interest in geology, and I found myself intrigued by the differences between the Cascades and the older Sierra Nevada and Klamath Mts, All formed by complex processes but both involving, at different times, subduction zones causing magma to rise to, and/or near, the surface. So I asked Claude about it, and it gave back some really interesting information which puts a perspective on this I didn't really understand. Here's part of it: 

Time. The Sierra Nevada batholith is not one intrusion. It's hundreds of individual plutons amalgamated over ~150 Myr, then unroofed. The modern Cascade arc has had ~35–40 Myr. Run the Cascades another hundred million years, strip 10 km off the top, and you'd be looking at a batholith. Batholiths are what arc plutonism looks like integrated over deep time.
 
Flux. But time alone doesn't do it, because the Sierra had a genuine flare-up. The ~120–80 Ma pulse produced far more magma than steady-state arc behavior predicts — the modern analog people reach for is the Altiplano-Puna in the central Andes, not the Cascades. Arcs are episodic: long lulls punctuated by short high-flux events, probably driven by arc migration into fertile lithosphere or by underthrusting/relamination of crustal material into the melt zone. The Cascades right now are a low-flux arc — young warm slab, slow convergence, modest crustal thickness.
 
Crust. Sierran magmas ponded in and assimilated thick continental lithosphere, which is why they're granodiorite-dominated with heavy evolved isotopic signatures. Cascade magmas rise through thinner, younger, partly oceanic accreted crust and come out more mafic. Basalt–andesite–dacite versus tonalite–granodiorite–granite.
 
The Klamaths are a third case. Those are Jurassic–Cretaceous plutons intruding a stack of accreted oceanic terranes — ophiolites and island arcs. They're smaller, more mafic (lots of tonalite and trondhjemite, some gabbro), and scattered rather than amalgamated. Calling it a batholith oversells the coherence; it's a swarm of plutons stitching terranes together, because there was no thick continental root to build one in.
 
Which loops back: Pilchuck is closer in spirit to nothing on that list. It's a crustal melt of an accretionary wedge during a slab-window thermal anomaly — an arc-adjacent accident, not an arc product.

Sources: Northwest Geology Field Trips — Mount Pilchuck trail guide · Dragovich et al., 2017, GSA Abstracts · Tabor et al., 2002, USGS Sauk River quad · Mineral geochemistry of the Granite Falls stock, Bald Mountain pluton, and Mount Pilchuck stock · Fingerprinting episodic arc activity in the Sierra Nevada batholith, GSA Bulletin

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(My question had included a request to explain why Washington's Mt. Pilchuk was different in composition from other granitic mountains in the Cascades.)

As an aside, this arose because I was experimenting with Anthropic's Claude vs. ChatGPT. I must say its answers, esp. with the more intensive "thinking" turned on, are much more cohesive and more likely to challenge any preconceived notions implicit in your questions than the OpenAI product. I believe I have uncovered a real use for LLMs that may not be particularly profitable but is quite useful: self-directed continuing education. They don't actually "know" anything, but they can look stuff up lickety split, organize it, and answer your questions. This is a genuine value in my opinion. 



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30 July 2026

Modern Russian Stalin ixonography

I still have one or two friends on the "left" who are apologists for Russia, amazingly enough. But this bas-relief (with actual statues sort of emerging from it) in the Moscow Subway wasn't installed in the Soviet era. It was just unveiled... Putin sees himself as a modern Stalin, whom he admires greatly. That should tell you all you need to know.  Not that there isn't plenty of other evidence of who he is and what his country has become under his rule. 
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How to get smart by Stephan Patsis

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Thanks to Rick M. for this. Made me laugh out loud. 
 

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28 July 2026

Court Reform for the Post Trump Era

I have been advocating for some time that the Congress, when under Democratic Control with a D president, should explicitly, to the extent possible, legislatively overrule Citizens United, Buckley v. Valeo, Shelby County, Brnovich v. DNC, Trump v. US (on immunity), & Louisiana v. Callais. Thereby establishing as law progressive policy on money in politics, fair elections, and the principle that no one is above the law. I'm quite sure there are many others that need this treatment, but these seem most urgent. They should also by legislation, not requiring a Constitutional Amendment, add four new justices to the Court (to make 1 for each of the 13 Appellate circuits, which the D president will duly appoint immediately. The need to rebalance the court's ideological biases should be obivous. There should also be legislation requiring that the Supreme Court must issue rulings in writing, with explanatory opinions of sufficient clarity and substance to explain the basis of their decision. (No shadow docket rulings, if any disputed principle of fact or law is at issue). Further, if there is any way to "retire" justices into senior status, and be able to appoint their full time replacements, within the confines of the Constitution (also without having to amend it), they should pass that into law as well. Moreover, a rigorous anti-corruption law applicable to all Federal officers and employees, including judges, should be enacted as soon as possible. 

I would love to see all this, and especially the anti-corruption reforms, made retroactive, so that while the prohibition of ex post facto penalties would have to be finessed, it might be possible to claw back thinly disquised bribes and proceeds of extortion not only of Trump but also people like Homan and Justices Thomas and Alito. That may be hoping for a bit too much, but it's actually pretty important to establish that people who use the law to cheat the people are not entitled to protection of the fruits of their corruption.

 

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19 July 2026

Re: 4 Presidents

Yes me too & I hope you can continue to love & not be distracted by what all is will live thru and it will pass maybe rot rot even more than he is rotting now
Guy
Guy

On Sun, Jul 19, 2026, 11:49 PM David Studhalter <oldionus@gmail.com> wrote:
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Have to admit I kinda love this. 

 

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4 Presidents

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Have to admit I kinda love this. 

 

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18 July 2026

Abject criminality

How is attacking desalination plants in a war of choice not a war crime? I find this beyond disturbing. 

 

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