29 April 2025

What a difference 100 days makes: in Canada

Leave us not forget, when Trump took office former PM Trudeau was seriously underwater and forced to resign as party leader. The Liberals were expected to lose, trailing in some polls by 20%. They won yesterday, and Carney "has Trump to thank," except that he, rightly, deplores what Trump is doing to his country, our longest term and best ally and friend. 

Go Canada! Vive Québec et Canada! 

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El pueblo unido jamás será vencido. 
The People united will never be defeated.
DO NOT CAPITULATE! DO NOT BE SILENCED! RESIST!
IMPEACH and REMOVE.

25 April 2025

Please read my substack post: too early to think about a Post Trump Era? No!

If you don't usually read my substack posts, please read this one. 

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El pueblo unido jamás será vencido. 
The People united will never be defeated.
DO NOT CAPITULATE! DO NOT BE SILENCED! RESIST!
IMPEACH and REMOVE.

23 April 2025

David Rothkopf on how Trump has shown us how to stop him

Read this, it's great   <div class="substack-post-embed"><p lang="en">The Donald J. Trump Plan to Stop Donald J. Trump by David Rothkopf</p><p>After 100 Days, the President Has Started to Make It Clear How He Will be Defeated</p><a data-post-link href="https://davidrothkopf.substack.com/p/the-donald-j-trump-plan-to-stop-donald">Read on Substack</a></div><script async src="https://substack.com/embedjs/embed.js" charset="utf-8"></script> 

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El pueblo unido jamás será vencido. 
The People united will never be defeated.
DO NOT CAPITULATE! DO NOT BE SILENCED! RESIST!
IMPEACH and REMOVE.

19 April 2025

Re: Are we doomed?

I agree with this guy. [here] The 25th amendment cannot work; a military uprising would be failure incarnate; and his fourth option is a pipe dream. Impeachment requires that a massive majority demand it, and we need our own version of Ukraine's Orange Revolution, with millions of people taking to the streets, week in and week out, until it becomes clear to the Republicans, especially in the Senate, that this will not go away, and the only way to keep their jobs and restore some semblance of order is to impeach Trump. Vance will be relatively powerless in the aftermath of the removal of Trump from office. No matter how hard it is or how long it takes, this struggle is the ONLY way to save our republic, and we have no other option. Any effort is worth it to succeed, and failure is not an option. We marched today in the streets of Portland, and over 400 other marches and protests around the country were held. This needs to become weekly... even daily... until the Congress realizes that the people are not going to tolerate a fascist takeover. As they said in the Chilean revolution (and it took years)... The People United Can Never Be Defeated. 

On Sat, Apr 19, 2025 at 6:55 PM Jean <jean316@bellsouth.net> wrote:
believe me, it's not worse than I think. I am beyond horrified, disgusted, angry and any number of other terms of fury. This is the worst. He makes Nixon and Reagan look like girl scouts.

_________________ 
Jean Clare Smith, MD, MPH 
2233 Versaro Drive
Santa Rosa, CA 95403-8662
Res: 1.707.852.5120
Cell: 1.470.303.5869


On Saturday, April 19, 2025 at 02:06:46 PM PDT, David Studhalter (ds@gyromantic.com) <oldionus@gmail.com> wrote:


This prediction is meaningless. I'm focused on the 2026 elections and impeaching Trump. If he's still president in 2028 I doubt there will even be legitimate elections. It's worse than you think. Sorry but that's how I see it

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All is well. And all will be well. And all manner of things will be well.
  --Julian of Norwich

On Sat, Apr 19, 2025, 10:07 Jean <jean316@bellsouth.net> wrote:


If this happens, are we doomed to suffer through another 4 years of whomever the Repugnants come up with? JD Vance or worse? I am really afraid she is just too strident, too divisive to win. Why not Cory Booker, for example? Or even Kamala Harris one more time? Or someone else? Adam Schiff? Chuck Schumer?

Reactions? Suggestions? 

And we still have at least 3 more years of the Orange Menace, aka dRumpf to go.

God help us, and I don't even believe in God, but somebody's got to help us.

Jean


_________________ 
Jean Clare Smith, MD, MPH 
Res: 1.707.852.5120
Cell: 1.470.303.5869


_


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DO NOT CAPITULATE! DO NOT BE SILENCED! RESIST!
TRUMP'S FASCIST TAKEOVER CAN BE STOPPED. HE MUST BE IMPEACHED.
Write your Senators and Congressional Representatives. One by one we must peel away the MAGA cowards and force them to do the right thing. 

The American People United Can Never Be Defeated

https://events.pol-rev.com/events/a135e0c6-7458-4236-8b25-b1f7383e2665
If you live in Portland, Please participate in today's March and Protest against the rolling Trump fascist takeover of America!
Meetup at Pioneer Square at 11:30 TODAY and there will be a 1.2 mile march   ... see link above 
Organized by fiftyfifty.one
If you don't live in Portland, there are over FOUR HUNDRED protests and marches planned for today... we must demonstrate to this lawless regime that the people are against it. 

The American People United Can NEVER be defeated !
Organize to oppose fascism in our country. 

COURAGE.


14 April 2025

ideal stars for life, dimmer than the sun, longer lived

I asked ChatGPT to talk about the "ideal star" and planet combination for the evolution of basically earthlike life. Its answer might interest you. First my question, " I could imagine an updated version of "When Worlds Collide," invovling not a collision but a close approach of a system with an inhabited world. But it sounds like this is actually quite unlikely for Gliese 710. If I understand prior discussions with you and other things I've read, the average disk population K type dwarf is likely not to be this young, but will usually have an age somewhat older than the Sun, based on the drop off in the rate of star formation in the disk, which peaked around 8 billion years ago. Of course, there is also a gradual evolution of the metallicity of stars, such that older K dwarfs are likely to have lower metallicity than recent ones. It's hard to estimate what would be the "ideal" star for optimizing the chances of a water world where an abiotic origin of life in a similar fashion to earth would be at its most likely. Care to hazard an estimate? I gather stars in the late G early K, based in part on their lifespans and stability, are actually somewhat better than earlier G stars from the point of view of time for life to originate and evolve to complexity." Its answer: 

You're absolutely on the right track with this entire line of reasoning—nicely synthesized. Let's unpack a few parts and try to arrive at a reasoned estimate of what kind of star might be optimal for the origin and long-term development of life.


🚫 Gliese 710: Probably Not a Great Candidate

Yes, exactly: Gliese 710 is almost certainly too young for a world around it to have developed life—even microbial life, unless it was seeded or transferred. Since life on Earth took hundreds of millions of years to get going and over 3 billion to reach complexity, a 300–400 million-year-old star is more like a cosmic toddler. It's still possible it hosts interesting worlds, but they're likely still cooling down, possibly experiencing heavy bombardment.


🔭 Galactic Star Formation History and Age Distribution

You're also right that:

  • Star formation in the Milky Way peaked ~8–10 billion years ago, with a tapering rate since.

  • This means that many stars in the thin disk are older than the Sun (4.6 Gyr), especially K and M dwarfs, which live far longer than G-type stars.

  • The Sun is somewhat unusual in its metallicity and relatively young age compared to the broader G dwarf population.

Also, many of the old K dwarfs would have lower metallicity, which may have implications for rocky planet formation, though it's now clear that terrestrial planets can and do form even around metal-poor stars—just not as often with hot Jupiters or large gas giants.


🌟 What Would Be the "Ideal" Star for Life?

This is speculative, of course—but with current astrophysical and astrobiological models, we can outline a plausible profile:

✅ Stellar Type

  • Spectral type: K2–K5 V

    • More luminous and warmer than M dwarfs, but still long-lived (20–40+ billion years).

    • Less chromospheric activity and smaller habitable zone shifts than M dwarfs.

    • Less UV than G-type stars, which may aid atmospheric stability without sterilizing surfaces.

✅ Stellar Age

  • 5 to 8 billion years

    • Old enough to allow abiogenesis and evolutionary development to complexity.

    • Not so old that it's entering post-main sequence evolution (which G-type stars start doing ~10–12 Gyr).

    • Time for continents, oceans, plate tectonics, and carbon cycles to stabilize.

✅ Metallicity

  • [Fe/H] between 0 and +0.3

    • Enough to support rocky planet formation.

    • High enough to provide necessary building blocks (C, N, O, Fe, etc.) but not excessively metallic, which might increase gas giant formation and destabilize inner systems.

✅ Galactic Environment

  • Stable orbit in the Galactic thin disk, avoiding frequent crossings of spiral arms (reduces supernova risk).

  • Not in stellar clusters or dynamically crowded regions.


🧬 Late G vs Early K for Life

You're absolutely right again: Late G (G8–G9) and early K (K0–K4) appear to be the sweet spot:

  • G2 (like the Sun) is almost optimal, but the shorter lifespan (~10 Gyr) means intelligent life has only a limited window.

  • K dwarfs live far longer—tens to hundreds of billions of years.

  • A K3–K5 star that formed 5–8 billion years ago could now host a world with billions of years of biotic history and plenty of time left.

This matches modeling studies like those by Lingam and Loeb, who concluded that the most biofriendly stars are likely slightly cooler and smaller than the Sun, largely in the early-to-mid K-dwarf range.


🌍 And the Planet?

You'd want a rocky, water-rich planet, maybe 0.8 to 1.2 Earth masses, with:

  • A strong magnetic field

  • Active geology

  • A substantial atmosphere

  • A day length of 20–40 hours (fast enough for a Coriolis effect, slow enough for thermal regulation)

  • Stable axial tilt or moon-induced precession for seasons

If placed in the habitable zone of a K3 star at ~0.5–0.6 AU, such a planet could potentially maintain stable, moderate climates and be biologically active for tens of billions of years.


🔚 Final Thought

So yes, in terms of "Where is life most likely to arise and persist long enough to evolve intelligence?", your instincts are exactly aligned with current thinking:

  • The early K dwarfs are arguably the best bets.

  • They form in large numbers.

  • They live much longer than G dwarfs.

  • And they offer stable environments with good UV moderation and strong planetary retention zones.

Earth may be early to the party.

Would you like me to mock up a profile of such a star and planet—e.g., for a science fiction setting? I could give it a plausible catalog number, orbit details, and habitability profile.


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TRUMP MUST BE IMPEACHED. Write your Senators and Congressional Representatives. One by one we must peel away the MAGA cowards and force them to do the right thing. 

bluesky

If anyone cares to follow me on bluesky, this is moi; https://bsky.app/profile/oldionus.bsky.social or just go to bluesky, I'm @oldionus
I generally refollow anyone who follows me. 

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TRUMP MUST BE IMPEACHED. Write your Senators and Congressional Representatives. One by one we must peel away the MAGA cowards and force them to do the right thing. 

Elon Schmuck going after government employees


Does anyone really believe in their heart of hearts that the real reason Orangeyface and Elon Schmuck have gone after government employees wholesale is they hate everyone who doesn't adulate them and they have government employees figured for Democrats?

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TRUMP MUST BE IMPEACHED. Write your Senators and Congressional Representatives. One by one we must peel away the MAGA cowards and force them to do the right thing.