13 October 2016

Probability of Clinton win by states

I would like to point out that all three west coast states come out in Nate Silver's poll projection as over 97% probability that Clinton will carry the state. We on the "left coast" consider ourselves to be almost in a different country than the rest of the nation. Here, sure there are some rednecks and lunatics, but by and large someone like Trump garners almost no support. We just can't conceive of electing someone like that to any office. 

But California stands out.  

Only three other states in the nation rank in at ≥ 99.7% chance of Clinton win: 
New York

(Illinois is 99.2% and Washington is 98%). 

But California, America's largest state by far, is in a special category: 99.9% probability.  

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