No question about it;
it's early days, and it's impossible to predict what may come up that
could turn the presidential race on its head. But based on what's going
on right now, it's hard not to see Obama as doing a much better job than Romney in connecting with ordinary voters.
Ian Masters was interviewing James Kloppenburg
yesterday on this subject, and Kloppenburg remarked that we should
expect the Romney campaign to come out with a major offensive to try to
counter a very, very bad week last week. But today we get "Hey, Kerry's wife didn't release her tax returns and McCain only released two years!" (Not true: McCain in '04 released 23 years of tax returns; and Teresa Heinz Kerry did release some tax information in '04, but the point is how lame this
sounds, and how the more he complains about having to release more
information, the more he creates the suspicion that he really does have
something to hide).
Something else Kloppenburg said rings true: different context, but this is starting to sound like the shrill denials Nixon gave on Watergate. And even Romney has himself said on more than one occasion, if you're defending, you're losing.
We can't get overconfident, but all this is good news for Team Democratic and Team Obama, no doubt about it.
16 July 2012
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