There's nothing magical or mystical about it, and the model, while rational and successful going back decades (including when applied retroactively through at least most of the 20th century), is not strictly speaking scientific. Nonetheless, I take some considerable encouragement from the following:
Allan Lichtman, the presidential election prognosticator who has successfully predicted the last nine out of 10 White House races, has made his preliminary projection for the November contest: Vice President Kamala Harris is expected to win, he said Friday.
Considering the shitshow the election had become prior to Biden's announcement a week ago today, this is truly good news. When he predicted the Trump win in 2016, people pooh-poohed his whole model, but it was right then. Let's hope it's right now.
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