IHME model projections

While this information indicates that WITH continued physical distancing, which means closure of nonessential businesses and schools, etc. for several more MONTHS, many parts of the country, including the West Coast, will avoid serious overtaxing of the medical care system. But for there to be any kind of return to normal life, it is clear, we will ABSOLUTELY HAVE TO start testing nearly everyone, and isolate people who are positive. Otherwise, we can fully expect the epidemic to come roaring back in successive waves. At some point, we hope, there will be effective antiviral treatments and/or vaccines, but until then, massive testing and isolation of positives is the only possible way to stave off complete disaster.

https://covid19.healthdata.org/projections