27 October 2025

What about the National Popular Vote Compact?

Midst all the chaos that is Trump II, we have sort of lost sight of the National Popular Vote Interstate Compact, which could have the effect (without a Constitutional Amendment) of nullifying the disproportionality of the Electoral College system. If you aren't aware of its existence, I recommend Wikipedia: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/National_Popular_Vote_Interstate_Compact

As of right now  (Oct 27, 2025), the compact needs 61 more electoral votes to hit the 270-vote trigger. Member states plus D.C. total 209 electoral votes; Maine and Minnesota were the most recent additions, and an effort to withdraw Maine this year failed to clear both chambers, so Maine remains in. AP News+2National Popular Vote+2

On "who's next," the best clues come from states where the bill has already shown legislative traction (passed one chamber or more), or where there's a live pathway like a constitutional amendment. Recent trackers point to these as the likeliest near-term candidates, contingent on party control and gubernatorial veto dynamics:

  • Michigan (15 EV): Democratic lawmakers pushed NPVIC in 2024–25; the measure has seen activity and public analysis, but final enactment has not happened yet. It remains a plausible pickup if legislative and executive alignment holds. Ballotpedia+1

  • Nevada (6 EV): The legislature has passed NPVIC before (a 2019 bill was vetoed), and a 2026 constitutional amendment route is in motion—making Nevada one of the clearer structural paths for adoption. Ballotpedia

  • Virginia (13 EV): The bill has cleared at least one chamber in past sessions; success likely hinges on governor/legislature alignment in a future session. National Popular Vote

  • Arizona (11 EV), North Carolina (16 EV), Oklahoma (7 EV), Arkansas (6 EV): Each has seen the bill pass one chamber at some point, so they're on the "watch list," though current partisan control and prior outcomes make near-term passage less certain.

As you can see by adding up the votes, we need quite a few states, but it is far from unthinkable. As with all manner of reforms necessary to make sure that the MAGA catastrophe that has enveloped our nation is not only undone but reformed out of the possibility of happening again, it will require reaching voters in RED STATES in large numbers to effect change. We simply cannot be satisfied with the bi-coastal (plus Illinois, Minnesota, Wisconsin, Colorado and New Mexico) "blue nation" politics within which we have thusfar been trying to work. We have to convince people in Iowa, the Dakotas, Montana, Utah, Arizona, even Texas and North Carolina, that Trumpism is not working for them and that if we don't restore the possibility of electing people who will actually put the interests of working people over the interests of billionaires and megacorporations, we will descend permanently into kleptocratic autocracy. Of course, this message needs to be popularized and presented effectively, but we simply cannot fail at this: the future of our country depends on it. The Popular Vote Compact is but one step along the path, but it is a step, and could make all the difference. 

Thanks for reading this far... we have to hang together, friends, or we will, as I believe it was the inestimable Ben Franklin who said it: we will hang separately. 

N.B. Both states with which I associate myself, Oregon and California, have passed the NPVIC. 




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Silence is complicity. Americans who believe in democracy MUST RESIST. 

"If the freedom of speech is taken away-- then dumb and silent, we may be led like sheep to the slaughter."
                       --George Washington, 1783

The positive side

Pretty sure my missives to farflung correspondents, such as they are, don't reach any supporters of this regime. Because as far as I'm concerned, there is no moral position that tolerates choosing the policies of fascism over democracy. I realize that people are pissed off and some of them voted for Trump, not because they support what he is now doing, but out of frustration. And those people, enough of them, can be reached. The cult followers are a lost cause, but the voters who believed some of what the Grifter said and voted more against what they perceived as a system not working for them than for this regime, can be reached, and can be brought home to vote for Democrats. But this message is intended for those who need no convincing, but need to be energized to understand that we can't just rely on business as usual. We have to energize our own party and focus on getting out huge numbers of people who had just tuned out and stopped voting altogether. And that the way to do that is to give them something to believe in. Just convincing them that they're being screwed and the regime is not on their side, while essential, is not enough.  

This article by Krugman, and Heather Cox Richardson's commentary on it, highlight something I've been thinking about quite a bit lately. Which is what Democrats need to present to the American people to overcome the general sense of uselessness of the entire political process and lack of hope that anything can make our predicament better. Because the truth is that unless we find a way to get a significant percentage of the big cohort of potential voters who simply don't vote to come out to the polls and vote for Democrats, the gerrymandering, propaganda, and outright cheating that this regime intends to use to subvert elections and remain in power despite historic unpopularity will succeed. 

Pointing out to people that they're being screwed by the regime is not enough, even if they believe you. Or that our democracy is at stake. Sad truth: only a minority even care about that. People have to believe that if they vote for Democrats something good  and positive will happen. We need to say not only are we not going to cut everything important to you and your family, and transfer wealth to ourselves and the billionaires that control American politics, we are going to invest in the future and build a better country, based on reality and real prospects, where our prosperity is assured, where opportunities for eduction, decent health care, jobs, an economy where the law protects consumers, where there is an opportunity to have the means to buy a decent home and avoid crushing debt, and where the ultra rich pay their fair share so that the burden of taxes isn't crushing ordinary people. This kind of message  can be truly effective, when delivered effectively alongside the promise to end corruption, self-dealing, crazy trade policies that are making inflation worse and destroying the economy, not to mention the deeply unpopular fascist thuggery of this regime. It can bring out younger voters who in recent elections have just stayed home. 

Because, friends, if we don't give enough people hope for a future they can believe in, so that the majorities of Democratic votes are so overwhelming that no amount of cheating and rigging the system can prevent victory... we are screwed. If these people are able to consolidate power through even two more election cycles (midterm and 2028), I believe the slide into long term, corrupt and kleptocratic authoritarianism, and the complete destruction of our Constitutional system, will be unavoidable. This is the fight of our lives, and as Democrats who really care about our country, we can't just sit back and hope that the "midterms will go our way." We have to do our damndest to convince our own leaders to treat this as the epic conflict that it is, and fight like hell as if losing again is completely unthinkable. Because it is. 

What can we do? Besides giving money to the same old party apparatus that has failed us repeatedly? I think 1) show up; get out on the streets; show the world and our fellow Americans that we are the many, and we are strong. And 2), mainly, talk to people you know, even if it's uncomfortable. Tell them about how the Trump regime is foreclosing our future but Democrats will invest in infrastructure, technology, jobs, housing, health care... everything ordinary people care about. And instead of building ridiculous ballrooms and monumental arches while raiding your neighbors in the dead of night and shipping them off to foreign prisons mainly because they're brown, we will make the richest 1%, which has four to five times more wealth that the entire Federal government, pay their share of the cost of building a better society, so that instead of getting screwed and getting poorer and poorer in real terms, ordinary people get their fair share of the benefits of honest investment in the future. That democrats will support democracy in the world and not cozy up to dictators and look everywhere for ways to enrich themselves, the American people be damned. That while government is never going to be perfect, it actually can be fair, honest, and run in such a way that it brings actual benefit to ordinary working people. While the regime's lies and duplicity cover up the fact that they care exactly nothing for the welfare of ordinary people, and their policies will make the lives of ordinary Americans worse rather than better. We have to be willing to talk about it to people who we usually don't "talk about politics" with. We can't convince everyone, of course, but we only need a margin... another 5 or 7% of people to actually vote. Mostly we don't really even need to change minds. We are already the majority. We just need to get our voters out to actually vote. There are lots of districts even in "red" states where, unpopular as this fascist regime has already become, we can flip dozens of House seats, win governorships and state legislature seats, even flip several Senate seats. And we have to. If we fail, our country fails. That's what's facing us, and we simply cannot fail to heed the call. 

Thank you, as the smelly old Orange Grifter likes to say, for your attention to this matter. 

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Silence is complicity. Americans who believe in democracy MUST RESIST. 

"If the freedom of speech is taken away-- then dumb and silent, we may be led like sheep to the slaughter."
                       --George Washington, 1783

Most distant yet

This is remarkable. 
The amazingest thing is that if almost any flavor of the currently favored Inflationary (or "Inflaton Field") theory of cosmic origins is correct, even this incredibly ancient object is in the tiny sliver of this universe that's even theoretically visible to us. When astronomers refer to "the universe" they usually mean the "observable universe," meaning that tiny fraction from which it's even physically possible for light to ever reach us. But the vast space, presumably also full of galaxies, clusters of galaxies, and of course unimaginably vast numbers of stars, planets, and life, that isn't ever going to be visible to us could be thousands, millions, even huge numbers we don't even have words for, times the size of what we can see, even in principle. It seems almost impossible that this universe (never mind concepts of the multiverse) is actually infinite, but it is so vast that our minds are simply not gifted by evolution the power to grasp such immensity. 

Ballroom and Arc de Trompe

Building a 90K ft^2 warehouse with tacky Victorian window frames plastered on to replace the demolished East Wing of the People's House, and next the Arc de Trompe (he actually referred to it as "the Arc") would be grist for a South Park parody. But it's real. We are living in Idiocracy, but with a Goebbelsian overlay. 




(Note that they apparently intend to tear down the West Wing and replace it with a giant monstrosity as well).
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Silence is complicity. Americans who believe in democracy MUST RESIST. 

"If the freedom of speech is taken away-- then dumb and silent, we may be led like sheep to the slaughter."
                       --George Washington, 1783

23 October 2025

Weather!

Portlanders: Very heavy rain coming tomorrow and Saturday... even averaged models showing 4+ in. of rain by Sunday. And high winds just to make things more interesting. 



Silence is complicity. Americans who believe in democracy MUST RESIST. 
 

Ukraine leaping ahead in military technology / Paul Warburg

I don't claim to have good understanding of these issues, but if you've wondered why it is that Ukraine has stopped powerful monster Russia dead in its tracks in the last three years, and is now slowly but surely winning its war against its much larger neighbor, (despite precious little help from Trump's America), you should watch this
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Silence is complicity. Americans who believe in democracy MUST RESIST. 

"If the freedom of speech is taken away-- then dumb and silent, we may be led like sheep to the slaughter."
                       --George Washington, 1783

21 October 2025

Trump now claims all he has to do is shakedown the government for as much money as he wants

So let me get this straight. Trump is demanding that the DOJ just pay him $230 million because he's butt hurt about the fact that he was persecuted during the Biden years (and only escaped jail because of the foot dragging of Merrick Garland and the complicity in the Trumpist coup on the part of the Supreme Court). And the officials at DOJ responsible to decide whether to give in to this rank extortion are his personal lawyers who have claimed continuing attorney client privilege with respect to him. And we, the American taxpayers, are supposed to just swallow this and consider it legal, normal, and tolerable? And the Republicans, including the majority in both houses of Congress, actually expect that?  

I honestly cannot imagine how this is supposed to go down without a major blow up, but it apparently will. 



Silence is complicity. Americans who believe in democracy MUST RESIST. 

"If the freedom of speech is taken away-- then dumb and silent, we may be led like sheep to the slaughter."
                       --George Washington, 1783

Tudei Piano Miting

Tudei Piano Miting long Zoom bai i stat long ten o'klok olsem bipo. 

Miting ID:     829 1420 0597


Since "guessing" has proved unpopular, I'll just tell you. It's Tok Pisin, the creole spoken in much of Coastal Papua. 

Explanation:

  • Tudei = today

  • Piano Miting = piano meeting

  • long Zoom = on Zoom

  • bai i stat = will start

  • long ten o'klok = at 10 o'clock

  • olsem bipo = as usual












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 "If the freedom of speech is taken away-- then dumb and silent, we may be led like sheep to the slaughter."
                       --George Washington, 1783


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16 October 2025

Demonstrate your opposition to Fascism - NO KINGS- Saturday, Oct. 18 - nationwide

Silence is complicity. Americans who believe in democracy MUST RESIST. 

"If the freedom of speech is taken away-- then dumb and silent, we may be led like sheep to the slaughter."
                       --George Washington, 1783


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15 October 2025

SUPPORT... SHOW UP... FOR NO KINGS!

According to the estimable David Cay Johnston, we need at least 15 MILLION people to show up for one of the many nationwide peaceful No Kings Protests to have any significant impact on the governing majority (the sycophantic do nothing Congress and Supreme Court). I would venture to say that we're not there yet. PLEASE. PLEASE.  SHOW UP AND SUPPORT THE RESISTANCE this Saturday, October 18. If you don't know where to go, google NO KINGS and you can easily find out. Just showing up helps. Please understand: if you support the core idea of America, the idea of consent of the governed as the sole basis of legitimacy, IT IS YOUR PATRIOTIC DUTY TO RESIST AUTHORITARIAN AUTOCRACY 

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Silence is complicity. Americans who believe in democracy MUST RESIST. 

"If the freedom of speech is taken away-- then dumb and silent, we may be led like sheep to the slaughter."
                       --George Washington, 1783


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14 October 2025

Reading a monograph on the origin of life

Partly as a distraction from the hideous state of affairs politically, I've begun reading a difficult monograph on a subject that interests me inordinately, namely the origin of life on Earth and its universal implications. The Origin and Nature of Life on Earth / The Emergence of the Fourth Geosphere by Eric Smith and Harold Morowitz, both of whom are esteemed elders associated with both George Mason Univ. and the Santa Fe Institute. Their overall thesis appears to be 1) "Metabolism first" (this is perhaps by a slight margin now the predominant view, as espoused especially by Nick Lame). In other words, the chemistry of life emerged in the pre-biotic world first, then became encapsulated in physical forms that enabled the chemistry to function in a wider range of environments, and it was off to the races. 2) The fundamental level of entity that enabled life to cross the threshold from nonliving organic chemistry to biochemistry is the ecosystem, not the organism, and that while phylogeny is the key to the understanding of the "big picture" of life's diversity, to understand its universality and the importance of convergence and function to its long term stability and survival the ecosystem remains the key and most fundamental entity (given that it remains likely true that unlike the physics and chemistry laws that fully specify the origin and continued existence of the other three geospheres (atmosphere, lithosphere, and hydrosphere, each subdivided into subrealms), the biosphere is to a considerable extent characterized by contingency and history, which gives it a unique stamp likely not closely matched anywhere in the observable universe). 3) Notwithstanding the uniqueness of life on Earth, some form of life, and uniquely characterized biosphere, is likely to form wherever conditions permit elsewhere in the universe, because the physical/chemical function of life, as the path of least resistance for energy transport to most efficiently increase universal entropy, will always occur, just as water always "tries" to find a path to a lower energy state, usually in the sea. OK, there's more to it than that, but this is the general point of view. 

My problem with the book is that it is written in the most opaque imaginable Academese. I am a fairly literate person and retain most of my marbles, but I have to read most of the sentences at least twice to even get the gist of what they're trying to say. Perhaps one example will suffice to make my point. 

The phase transition to autocatalytic self-maintenance was the first selector of metabolic pathways. These probably have a minimal component of accident. The small molecule world has little capacity for long-term memory: Whatever is most facile and robust becomes most likely, moment by moment, independently and everywhere. The boundary conditions provide similar energy supplies.

I asked ChatGPT to try to turn these sentences into something more easily digested and it actually did a pretty decent job: 

The shift to systems that could sustain and maintain themselves marked the first stage in the evolution of metabolism. From that point on, chemical pathways were selected based on their ability to maintain such self-sustaining cycles. Chance probably played only a small part. In the world of simple molecules, there's almost no "memory" of past events — what works best at any given moment tends to prevail everywhere it can. Because the surrounding conditions and energy sources were similar in many places, the same kinds of reactions kept being favored again and again. 

More words but easier to grasp. Efficiency in writing is more than just conciseness: comprehensibility is even more important. Bottom line: reading this 650 page book is going to be a real chore, but a little bit more sympathetic effort on the part of the authors to make their ideas more comprehensible would've been well worth it. 

I could imagine some folks accusing me of calling the kettle black here, since I myself have a tendency to write long, complex sentences that are hard to follow and sometimes even get lost in their unnecessarily elaborate structures. But this is just laziness on my part, and at least I admit it. When you're writing a major work (Cambridge University Press), you really owe it to your readers to write in as comprehensible a style and format as you possibly can. 


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Silence is complicity. Americans who believe in democracy MUST RESIST. 

"If the freedom of speech is taken away-- then dumb and silent, we may be led like sheep to the slaughter."
                       --George Washington, 1783

13 October 2025

NO KINGS Saturday October 18 ..... NATIONWIDE

OK, if you don't want to hear it the delete button is over there ---->.

FIND YOUR NEAREST NO KINGS RALLY ON SATURDAY AND SHOW UP. IT'S YOUR PATRIOTIC DUTY TO YOUR COUNTRY. 

I thank you. Future citizens of our country after fascism is defeated will thank you. 

Silence is complicity. Americans who believe in democracy MUST RESIST. 

"If the freedom of speech is taken away-- then dumb and silent, we may be led like sheep to the slaughter."
                       --George Washington, 1783

12 October 2025

Please watch

Please watch this brief but TERRIFIC speech by MY senator, Jeff Merkley. 


Silence is complicity. Americans who believe in democracy MUST RESIST. 

"If the freedom of speech is taken away-- then dumb and silent, we may be led like sheep to the slaughter."
                       --George Washington, 1783


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09 October 2025

Please SHOW UP on October 18 :: America has NO KING

If you oppose the slide into dictatorship happening in our country right now, PLEASE turn up to a massive nationwide protest on Saturday October 18. Completely peaceful, totally legitimate 1st amendment protected protests are being organized in every city in the country, and the coalition of everyone who believes in democratic governance, the rule of law, and compliance by the regime with the Constitution of the United States needs to SHOW UP and make your voice heard. 

Thank you. 


Silence is complicity. Americans who believe in democracy MUST RESIST. 

"If the freedom of speech is taken away-- then dumb and silent, we may be led like sheep to the slaughter."
                       --George Washington, 1783


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We are in serious danger of the success of dictatorship

Farflung correspondents and Friends: I believe we are at an inflection point in this country, and the time has come when everyone will have to decide whether to cast their lot with those who would destroy our country, or to resist. I will no longer politely pretend that what is happening in our country is anything other than a rapid descent into dictatorship. The majority of Americans oppose the authoritarian regime. Not a massive majority, but a majority. We will not be able to avoid the destruction of our democracy without the great bulk of people who oppose this trend standing up, exercising their right to protest and resist the end of our republic. If I lose friends over this, so be it. Right now, nothing is more important.  

Please watch the CNN video of shadow dictator Stephen Miller, who tipped his cards when he used the phrase "plenary power." His stated views are directly contrary to what the Constitution says, in plain language. This just may be a bridge too far even for John Roberts and Amy Coney Barrett. That the future of our country may depend on these two soulless authoritarians is itself terrifying. But here we are. The truth is not of significance to the people in the regime who are pulling the strings, even while their Cult Leader is conspicuously heading into accelerating mental and physical decline. It is clear, beyond comfortable denial, that they intend to seize power and exercise it against all who oppose them. If you don't believe that, I urge you to simply listen to what they say. They are telling you what they intend to do. 

You owe it to yourself and your country to watch what is happening. Do not obey in advance. If we can hold on, force  the regime by the sheer volume of popular resistance, to allow fair elections, convince the courts of the righteousness of the cause of democracy in the face of outright fascism, we have a chance to save our democracy. But if we fail to unite in opposition, a massive coalition not based on ideology or policies but simple adherence to the rule of law and our Constitution, then we will lose those things and they will be very, very hard to ever recover. If you are not alarmed, you are not paying enough attention. 

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Silence is complicity. Americans who believe in democracy MUST RESIST. 

"If the freedom of speech is taken away-- then dumb and silent, we may be led like sheep to the slaughter."
                       --George Washington, 1783


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25 September 2025

Comey indictment

For various reasons, I am no fan of James Comey. But if there were anything that could get me to contribute to his defense fund, it's the ridiculous, fascistic abuse of the Justice Dept. by the Trump regime in indicting him on absolutely preposterous allegations. 

"If the freedom of speech is taken away-- then dumb and silent, we may be led like sheep to the slaughter."
                       --George Washington, 1783

19 September 2025

We're in it deep

Ho boy. Y'know we're deep into the stink can when you see this headline. Ted Cruz said it. "Ted Cruz calls out the FCC over Jimmy Kimmel suspension, saying chair's behavior was "right out of 'Goodfellas'".

07 September 2025

Trump caught on tape

Jeffrey Sachs on our predicament

Farflung correspondents: 

Watch this, if you feel you can hear the truth, which is that we are pretty much fucked. at least for the short term. 


Here's who this guy is: 

Jeffrey David Sachs (born November 5, 1954, Oak Park, Michigan) is a notable American economist and public policy expert. He currently serves as a University Professor and Director of the Center for Sustainable Development at Columbia University—a rank that reflects his distinguished academic standing. Previously, he directed Columbia's Earth Institute from 2002 to 2016 WikipediaUN Office for Partnerships.

Education and Academic Career

  • He earned his BA, MA, and PhD in Economics from Harvard University, studying under advisor Martin Feldstein Wikipedia.

  • Sachs began his faculty career at Harvard, rapidly becoming a tenured professor, and later served as director of major development-focused institutes there Wikipedia.

Work & Contributions

  • Sachs is deeply involved in the Millennium Development Goals (MDGs) and Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs). He served as Special Adviser to UN Secretaries-General from Kofi Annan to António Guterres (2001–2018), and now leads the UN Sustainable Development Solutions Network WikipediaUN Office for PartnershipsEncyclopedia Britannica.

  • He co-founded the Millennium Promise Alliance and directed the UN Millennium Project (2002–2006) focused on helping countries meet the MDGs WikipediaEncyclopedia Britannica.

Key Projects & Initiatives

Publications & Influence

  • A bestselling author, his influential works include The End of Poverty, Common Wealth: Economics for a Crowded Planet, The Price of Civilization, The Age of Sustainable Development, A New Foreign Policy, and The Ages of Globalization WikipediaEncyclopedia Britannica.

  • He also founded the World Happiness Report and regularly authors global commentary in Project Syndicate publications Wikipedia.

Recognition & Awards

Views & Contemporary Commentary

  • Sachs has increasingly engaged in global geo-political discourse, expressing views on the Russia–Ukraine conflict, NATO, and international diplomacy—all of which have sparked debate WikipediaThe New Yorker.

  • During the COVID-19 pandemic, he served as chair of The Lancet's COVID-19 Commission, exploring both natural and laboratory-origin hypotheses—drawing both attention and controversy WikipediaThe New Yorker.


Summary Snapshot: Jeffrey D. Sachs

AttributeDetails
NameJeffrey David Sachs
BornNovember 5, 1954, Oak Park, Michigan, U.S.
EducationBA, MA, PhD in Economics (Harvard University)
PositionsProfessor & Director at Columbia University; former Earth Institute Director
UN RolesSpecial Adviser to multiple UN Secretaries-General; President of UN SDSN
Key ProjectsMillennium Villages Project, UN Millennium Project, World Happiness Report
PublicationsThe End of Poverty, The Age of Sustainable Development, and more
AwardsTime's 100 Most Influential, Blue Planet Prize, Padma Bhushan, Tang Prize in SD
Contemporary FocusSustainability, global development, geopolitical commentary, pandemic analysis

Jeffrey Sachs is a globally influential economist, committed to ending extreme poverty and advancing sustainable development, with a wide-ranging impact from policy design to thought leadership.