18 September 2011

Improved Low-Carb Ice cream recipe (Chocolate)

Low Carb Ice Cream / Chocolate • requires ice cream machine (I use Cuisinart), and specialty natural sweeteners erythritol and oligofructose (aka fructo-oligosaccharide) • these can be purchased from www.netrition.com or other specialty food online retailers


7/8 cup whole milk
6 oz. baking chocolate ...chill in freezer in advance ... broken into small pieces
5/8 cup erythritol granules
5/8 cup oligofructose powder or granules (“Sweet Perfection” or other brand)
2 cups heavy cream, very cold
1 tbs. vanilla extract

Heat whole milk until just bubbling at edges in double boiler
Meanwhile, break up chocolate into small pieces and put in blender with about 1/3 cup of the erythritol: pulse at highest speed, loosening any compacted material, until finely ground and uniform. Add to hot milk, and the remaining erythritol and the oligofructose and blend with hand blender until smooth. Transfer to a chilled 1½ quart+ pourable large measuring cup and let cool to room temperature. Add heavy cream and vanilla and mix thoroughly. Chill well in refrigerator.

Add to prepared ice cream machine, and run according to manufacturer's directions, although it will take somewhat longer... perhaps 40 min.

The oligofructose helps make the erythritol less prone to recrystallize.

Variation: add pecan pieces or frozen berries right before end, to taste

○○○

This ice cream is obviously not low-fat or low calorie, but erythritol has almost no effective carbohydrate, and oligofructose is a dietary fiber, with low glycemic index and few calories, although it is moderately sweet. Thus, this ice cream has a very low glycemic index and should be genuinely low-carb. The amount of erythritol and oligofructose is more than the amount of sugar that would be used in a normal recipe, but, if anything, this ice cream is slightly less sweet than it would be if made with sugar normally. (Equivalent amount of sugar is about ¾ cup; many similar normal ice cream recipes call for more like 1 cup). These products are expensive, but if you want good tasting low-carb ice cream, there really isn't any other alternative that I've come across. Erythritol is the lowest calorie and lowest glycemic index of the sugar alcohols. Isomalto-oligosaccharride might work as a substitute for oligofructose, but I have no experience with it and haven't located a small-bulk quantity source for it as of yet.

The erythritol has a slightly “cool” sweetness, but this is offset by the oligofructose to some extent. There is no stevia-like or artificial sweetener aftertaste, however.

16 September 2011

Time for some party discipline

It seems to me this is Primer Politics:

While I'm not a fan of the President's Jobs Bill (because it isn't enough), it seems to me Democrats have no excuse at all for not supporting it and trying hard to convince their constituents to support it... as a first step.

Party discipline is one of the things that has made the Minority Rightist party so powerful. It's time for some on our side. Reid and Pelosi (and Obama) should contact these Blue Dogs, personally...  hell, call 'em into the White House... and tell them bluntly: you get on board and say nothing critical about this bill or you are no longer a Democrat as far as we're concerned, and we will stand someone to challenge you and end your career in politics.

Sometimes you gotta wield the big stick, something none of the Democratic leaders are particularly accomplished at.

14 September 2011

Gary Taubes

Gary Taubes, author of Good Calories, Bad Calories and Why We Get Fat, and What to Do About It, has started a very interesting series on his blog (link) about the status of the whole paradigm shift underway in the science of adiposity, so to speak.

Taubes is unabashedly partisan for the insulin/metabolism theory of overweight/obesity, but his point is mainly that unsubstantiated opinions on scientific questions don't matter and research is indicative of a different paradigm from conventional wisdom; the only reasonable thing to do is to conduct further controlled studies to resolve the issue once and for all. Kind of hard to argue with that. He's even putting his money where his mouth is, trying to raise funds to conduct definitive research.

Since at least a quarter of Americans are significantly overweight, this really does matter not only to people in their personal lives but to our entire society.

13 September 2011

urk! Republican wins Weiner's seat

Jeepers. This is not good. We just have to do better than this.

12 September 2011

As expected, Cantor pretty much tells Prez to jump in a lake

So already Eric Cantor has pretty much told the President to jump in a lake with his jobs bill, or most of it anyway. (The good parts, mainly). (No surprise here).

I'm not a fan of the Jobs Bill, as I've said; it's not big enough and not properly weighted to emphasize direct job creation, which is what we need right now. 

But in any case it seems to me that these foolish Republicans have just handed Obama a terrific campaign issue. Let's just hope his vaunted (and frequently missing in action) political savvy is sufficient to seize the advantage; because he should be able to beat them handily by pointing out that they're 1) against rebuilding America; 2) against putting people back to work; 3) against investing in America's future; 4) opposed to support for Education (just for starters). I really think the Democrats should just let it all hang out and start a WHY DO REPUBLICANS HATE AMERICA? campaign that lasts right through next years' election. Which, if they really did this and did it right, would be a sweeping Democratic victory both on the Presidential side and the Congressional side. 

09 September 2011

After the speech

The speech was good, and more than good. That's one thing you have to hand to this President. But some elements of the plan fall way short (just nowhere near big enough, too much tax cutting, that doesn't really work; too much reliance on unspecified deficit cutting (from what? when?), when what we should do, like a business that has to grow capital now, is borrow like there's no tomorrow, especially at these low interest rates). But if this was a start, not all he's got, maybe things will start to move in the right direction.

08 September 2011

Perry camp won't rule out ending Social Security entirely

TPM: Rick Perry Campaign Refuses To Rule Out Ending Social Security ...
OK, tell me again how it is even conceivable that this jerk could be nominated by a major party, still less elected President of the United States? Sometimes I hardly recognize the America we're living in.
 

What Progressives would like to see in Jobs Speech

I don't have time to go into great detail here, and I'm sure I'll miss some key points, but here's what I and a whole lot of President Obama's base who think along the same lines as me, would like to see in tonight's speech:
  • Legislation to create a National Infrastructure and Development Bank, and direct the Federal Reserve to post "created money" to it, and not to Wall Street Banks (this is trillions, based on past experience, and would go to Main St. not Wall St.)
  • Foreclosure Reform, in which all banks must participate as a cost of participation in FDIC and to be chartered as banks at all
  • A new WPA
  • A new CCC
  • At least $1 trillion allocated for direct job creation over 2 years
  • Comprehensive Alternative Energy, Transportation, and other Development plans to be rolled out to rebuild America and move her into the 21st Century economy as a leader
  • Force Commodity Futures Exchg. Commsn. to enforce Dodd Frank, and beef up laws to prevent and punish casino capitalism in all its forms
  • Extend unemployment benefits indefinitely 
  • Protect Social Security and Medicare benefits, guaranteed, to keep seniors out of poverty
  • Protect medicaid, and roll out early implementation and improvement to HCR, to prevent health care related bankruptcies (among other reasons)
  • Promise a complete revamp of trade agreements, towards balance to protect American workers
  • Reform of Tax Codes to eliminate tax breaks for offshoring jobs
  • Lift cap on income subject to Payroll Tax
  • Remove Bush era tax cuts on everyone earning over $150,000
  • Remove "hedge fund manager" tax breaks on investor class
  • Eliminate most agricultural and all energy and food industry subsidies
  • Tax breaks for new hires (temporary)
  • Tax breaks for renewable energy development
  • Salary subsidy for six months for hiring long term unemployed
  • Regulations to require across the board reductions rather than layoffs (similar to Germany's regulations)
  • Regulations to require employee representation in business governance (similar to Germany's regulations)
Of course we'll not see all or even many of these things, but I sure hope this president, for once, follows the advice of his base, and "goes long, goes big, and goes global," in E. J. Dionne's formulation. The president needs to sharply pivot away from the Republicans' meme of debt crisis, and to recognizing that the long term debt problems can be addressed after we get ourselves out of this huge hole we're in, and what we need to do now is get Americans working again, and ensure that the causes of the Great Republican Caused Financial Meltdown are fixed. We also need to roll out reforms along the lines Dean Baker talks about in his free e-book The End of Loser Liberalism, to start the process of reversing the historic trend towards economy-crippling concentration of wealth in the hands of the richest and big corporations. If this president does not soon start acting like a real Democrat, he will ultimately be abandoned by those who are convinced that the old "New Democrat" ways just won't work anymore.

Some of these things may, at first glance, look like they don't have anything to do with jobs. But they're related to the things that are crippling our economy, and everything's connected to everything else... get the economy out of its deep freeze and they'll be more jobs. More jobs means more taxes, means deficit problem largely solved. Q.E.D. But you have to start in the right places. Doing what the Republicans want to do, cut social programs and cut spending, is a guarantee for DEPRESSION with a capital-D.


For example, the failure to rein in speculation in commodities (actually mandated, albeit weakly, by Dodd Frank), is the main reason oil prices and food prices are artificially high (80% of futures market is speculation; Depression era regulations that were scrapped kept it to less than <20%; economists say excessive commodity speculation destroys supply and demand in essential commodities).

What Obama really needs to do is lay down the gauntlet right now and start running against the Republicans. He needs to lambaste the "do nothing 112th Congress," and needs to lay out a detailed, genuinely progressive plan for his second term of how to restore jobs and get the Country back on track. He needs to do both, actually: lay out immediate goals and ask people to demand that their Republican Congressmen and Senators support them, but also a big, comprehensive plan for the future, that will be the basis of his re-election campaign, which must focus on getting a Democratic House and Senate elected along with him with a pledge to get the big plan passed. Then he needs to abandon the Mr. Conciliator approach and get tough, get mad, and start asking the people directly to support him.

Look, folks, it's the only way. Otherwise the Right Wing Takeover of American politics will succeed, and when their wrongheaded and unrealistic policies crash our entire economy and destroy our social system that took a century to create, we'll really be in the soup.

05 September 2011

Barack Obama's epic failure

Matt Stoller in Salon makes the case that 1) Obama has ruined the Democratic Party, and 2) Democrats should seriously consider dumping him before it's too late. What Democrats Can Do About Obama, Here.

I have to agree with many of the points he makes, except that I'm pretty well convinced it's already too late, and that we are already reduced to hoping and praying the Republicans screw up so bad that he is re-elected. We're only left with the hope that somehow we can maintain enough control in the Congress to limp through the next however long before we can organize a real Progressive movement, gain control of our own party, and elect someone who will actually fight to enact that agenda.

I keep trying to find something to be optimistic about, and keep putting my energy and money into trying to make sure Progressive Democrats are elected. But this President seems determined, time and again, to undermine those efforts; to cave in to preposterous Republican demands before there's even a fight; and to adopt Right-Center positions at odds with what he said he would do when he was a candidate, even when there appears to be no political impetus that should cause him to move in that direction. Examples of all of these are now too many to discuss. They're occurring on a daily basis. It's gotten so bad that it's actually hard to find anyone who expects any actual results from the President's jobs speech; and few of us Progressives can honestly say we expect him to even say what the vast majority of Progressive Intellectuals would agree is needed in terms of policy.

Right at the moment I am reminded of a saying that's common in Science Fiction circles: Sometimes optimism is just another word for wishful thinking.

03 September 2011

Speechless

I am just speechless at Obama's abandonment of environmental protection. It is that stark. Where is the Democrat we elected in 2008? I cannot recognize him in this president.

02 September 2011

Krugman eviscerates the odious Eric Cantor

Here, and I can honestly say I don't believe there is even a gram of exaggeration here.

01 September 2011

Imagining Space

I have been a reader of science fiction, on and off, most of my life, although in recent years; well, decades, I have mostly found the field pretty devoid of anything much worth reading. Anyway, there's always been a subgenre, dominated by writers who took some care with astronomical detail and tried to make their space fiction plausible, at least within some conventions, such as "hyperdrive," to get around the fact that stars in the Galaxy are so far apart that travel to them even at relativistic speeds is effectively impracticable (that is even assuming that relativistic speeds were technologically feasible, not only in terms of energetics, but in terms of survivability... anything moving at that speed is essentially hard radiation). Probably the first classic example of this kind of so-called "hard" science fiction is Mission of Gravity (1953) by Hal Clement; a much praised but not too often actually read book.

It's a spectrum, really. Writers like Poul Anderson and Larry Niven, or even C. J. Cherryh and Ursula LeGuin, attend to detail: they set their stories in the real Galaxy, and mention real stars, and talk about such things as the stars' spectral classes and the orbital peculiarities of planets (such as tidal lock, i.e. the same face always to the star (not a convenient or possibly even survivable condition, but probably pretty common; think of the moon); or seasons caused by orbital eccentricity rather than axial tilt; that sort of thing). People who love to imagine what other stars and their worlds might actually be like loved this sort of thing, although eventually it pales; the contrivedness of it all becomes too glaring. Some writers, like Jack Vance and Iain Banks, set their stories in space, posit magical technology allowing space travel to be a lot like maritime or air travel on Earth, and get on with their (very different) baroque story telling. Frank Herbert imagined a vast span of time and space, including mention of some real stars, but his imagination went more towards imagining strange evolution of man and how history would be affected by it: Dune is incomparable, but most people would agree that after that, the whole thing just kind of gets out of hand.

More recent writers sometimes pay a lot of attention to scientific plausibility (Stephen Baxter comes to mind), but for my money, few "space fiction" writers still active can tell a story that holds my interest. Iain Banks is one.

Still, even today, almost all of this space fiction is based on a mindset that thinks "stars like the sun" are going to be more or less just like the sun. There will be watery worlds more or less like the Earth. The pattern of the Solar System: rocky inner worlds, gas giant outer worlds, stable, long lived star, which has somehow maintained a stable set of conditions on Earth for hundreds of millions of years, long enough for us to evolve, etc., all will be the rule. This kind of begs the issue, what is the actual truth, as now understood? It used to be that not much was actually known, or at least widely published, to indicate otherwise: one yellow dwarf star was assumed to be much like another.

But, it's really quite interesting. If you follow extrasolar planet research, or, for that matter, just read what's readily available from studies of stars themselves, you'll realize that these assumptions are not justified, at all. Look at this article about just one nearby "sunlike" star, 61 Virginis, in Wikipedia, to see what kind of detailed information is currently available. There are literally thousands of such articles available. 

Stars vary enormously. More than half of star systems have more than one star. Often in close orbits, which probably rule out planets in orbits where water could remain liquid. Stars rich in metals (Astronomese for everything beyond Helium on the periodic table), seem to be more likely to have planets; and it's already becoming apparent that at least some dwarf stars don't have planets, although why they don't isn't really understood. It used to be thought that older stars, that formed early in the history of the universe, were always metal poor, and more recent ones were metal rich; and while this pattern may generally hold, there are exceptions. The Sun is moderately metal rich, even for its age, but some even older stars (a nearby example being 16 Cygni), are even more metal rich, so the relationship between age and metal content is not regular or simple. Planets, it's now known, do not typically form in the Solar System pattern. Gas giants are often found in inner orbits. Nor are the nearly circular orbits of the Solar System's planets typical. Many systems have apparently stable but nonetheless highly eccentric orbits. Moreover, stars, even when similar in many respects to the Sun, are all different. 18 Scorpii (along with HD 98618 and HIP 56948) are thought to be "near solar twins," but even these stars have differences that might be critical, and might cause a planetary environment in their vicinity to be unstable. Further, there is current speculation that just maybe the dimmer, cooler, orange dwarfs (late type G and early type K), which live longer than brighter stars like the Sun and may settle into stable temperature ranges for longer periods, may be more "life friendly" than stars resembling the Sun (which would be a good thing, since something like 1 in 15 stars is main sequence type G5 thru K5, while stars from say F8 through G4 (the sun is usually given as G2), may only be about 1 in 30. *

So, what? I have no answers. Science fiction has become tired; it no longer seems to explore the edge of possibility. The universe is, clearly, quite a bit more varied than we thought. Is it full of life? Other civilizations? Other worlds like our own? We still don't know, but one thing is pretty clear: not just like our own. What is out there is as varied as the variation of landscapes on Earth, and the life that may have evolved will be varied too. Somehow the innate curiosity of human beings is outer-directed: someday we will know these things, if we survive; in the meantime, we need a bit better imagination to conceive of their possibilities.

------
* By far the majority of stars are tiny red dwarfs. Stellar population is more or less in inverse proportion to mass. Red dwarfs don't produce the kind of light in abundance that's probably necessary for terrestrial type life, and they have such narrow zones where temperatures could be right, which, in turn, are so close to the stars themselves, that the planets would usually be tidally locked, one face always to the star. This causes obvious problems, greatly accentuated by the fact that almost all red dwarfs flare, i.e., are quite irregular in their output and occasionally would blast their close in planets with excessive radiation. Thus, despite being so dim that almost none of them are close enough to even be visible in the night sky, these little stars, which make up something like 85% of all stars, aren't very good candidates for having living worlds as companions.

31 August 2011

Please Mr. President, get aggressive! Run AGAINST the Do-Nothing 112th Republican Congress!

Just wrote this to www.whitehouse.gov: 


For the first time in a while, I am gratified to be able to write to my President and say, "Brilliant! I love it!" Congratulations on scheduling jobs speech as a joint session and sticking it to the inconsequential fools on the Republican side by scheduling it the same night as their gabfest.

Now, take E. J. Dionne's advice and GO BIG, GO LONG, and GO GLOBAL. We need some major leadership and a big vision.

The White House should (finally) start sending bill after bill, fully written out, to the Democratic leadership to introduce and let the Republicans try to block. Then the President can run, not just for himself but on behalf of every genuinely contested Congressional and Senate Candidate, and say, "Look (unfurling a list that drops all the way to the floor)... here's OUR list of serious proposed legislation to address our nation's problems... and the Republicans have blocked almost every one. America can and will do better than this, but I need your help! I need you to vote for Democrats in Congress and the Senate to pass these proposals and move our country forward!"

This is a winning recipe, whereas hanging back and trying to pick up scraps from the obstructionists' table is a sure recipe for defeat.

The president needs to think long, towards 2013, and get REALLY AGGRESSIVE, in a complete change of approach, before it's TOO LATE.

Thank you.  


To which I added: 

I commended the president for scheduling a joint session of congress, and recommended that he get aggressive in sending Congress a legislative agenda, irrespective of whether the Republicans are likely to pass it.

I want to make the point that the key to the President's and other Democrats' victory in 2012 will be taking a lesson from Harry Truman in 1948: RUN AGAINST THE DO-NOTHING 112TH REPUBLICAN CONGRESS. Show a long list of bills proposed to address America's problems at EVERY speech, every campaign stop. Go out and campaign for every Democrat who has a chance to unseat a Republican. We need the majority back in the House. We need to keep the majority in the Senate, in order to start passing this agenda starting in 2013. In the meantime, an aggressive approach, that starts winning over public opinion, is MORE LIKELY to achieve short term results than trying to figure out in advance what the nasty Republicans are likely to "give us." That hasn't worked and never will.

GO BIG, GO LONG, GO GLOBAL, and FIGHT LIKE HELL! This is what your base wants and what will win both in terms of policy victories and electoral ones.

Thank you. 

30 August 2011

Perry's monstrous lies

I mince not my words. If that prick Perry succeeds in his attempt to mislead the public that he would somehow save Social Security by calling it a "Ponzi Scheme" and a "monstrous lie," when in fact what he would like to do, and will do if he ever gets a chance, is to kill it... well, I fear for the future of a country that would elect someone like that, and I wonder if we shouldn't negotiate the secession of Texas after all.

29 August 2011

E-mail to White House: SUPPORT Social Security Already!

My e-mail contact to the White House Today:

The president simply must differentiate himself from the Republicans and start DEFENDING Core Democratic Values. Perry is now doubling down on his crazy "Social Security is a Ponzi Scheme" meme. The President should forget about compromising with these mean spirited Rightists, and say clearly and unequivocally that Democrats created Social Security, Social Security is in good financial shape and has never contributed one dime to the deficit, and the President WILL VETO any attempt to cut Social Security or raise the retirement age further. Period.

Then, Mr. Obama should ENDORSE Bernie Sanders's plan to ensure the solvency of Social Security indefinitely by lifting the cap on income subject to payroll taxes (an idea which CANDIDATE Obama endorsed).

Aggressive campaign rhetoric 101:
Why do Republicans Hate America?


·    Republicans oppose rebuilding America
·    Republicans oppose putting Americans back to work
·    Republicans deny scientific truths
·    Republicans oppose investment in education, the key to our future
·    Republicans want to dismantle Social Security and Medicare
·    Republicans favor tax giveaways for big corps and the very rich
·    Republicans even want to obstruct your right to vote

WHY DO REPUBLICANS HATE
AMERICA?

26 August 2011

Trumka, Sanders right on.

AFL CIO leader Richard Trumka's criticisms of the president and Democrats in Congress strike me as exactly right.

I also think Bernie Sanders's proposal to ensure funding for 3/4 of a century for Social Security by lifting caps on income subject to the Payroll Tax, is an excellent plan, which all Democrats, including the President, should endorse forthwith.

Neanderthal and Denisovan Ancestors

Good article in today's L. A. Times about the extinct human subspecies (Neanderthal and Denisovan) with which modern humans, after coming "out of Africa", are now believed to have interbred. Among the upshots was improved immunity. Here.

25 August 2011

How can they SAY that??

So Dingdong Rubio says Social Security "weakened America?" (Here).

What I want to know is, how is it that, with huge majorities consistently saying they support Social Security and Medicare and don't want them cut, Republicans can say stuff like this and not be hounded out of office on the first train?

Cantor's meanness manifests again

Now we hear that that total creep Cantor is saying "no disaster relief without spending cuts." Is it even possible that the majority of the electorate isn't fed up to here with these mean spirited jerks by now?

24 August 2011

Will it really be Perry? and Should we be happy about it?

Is is just me, or should Democrats not be welcoming news that the Republicans seem determined, in recent polling, to dump Mitt and go with the Certifiable Nutcase and Megalomaniac, Rick Perry?

Surely, if they go off the cliff and nominate this guy, regardless of the economy, regardless of disenchantment with his style and even substance, the people will vote to re-elect the sane candidate over this unbelievable lunatic? Surely?

○○○
UPDATE:

I often cross-post to FireDogLake (http://my.firedoglake.com/oldionus). Here are a couple of the comments that were posted to the above: 


Vote Socialist August 24th, 2011 at 3:13 pm «
Why would we want Osterity re-elected? I’m pulling for Mittens; by having a Republican instead of a “Democrat” in the White House, there’d be some opposition to the Austerity Agenda from the Congressional Dems, yet there’s not a dime’s worth of difference between White Romney and Black Romney. Best of both worlds.


Alternatively, there’s the theory that we want the Oristocrats to be humiliated by losing to the most extreme candidate the Rs can nominate. Make the repudiation of the Obama Adminis-Traitor-ion as complete as can be. The bonus here is that Perry/Bachmann/Herman Cain/whoever would tank the economy hard and fast, priming the country for a hard swing to the left in ’16, if not revolution before then. A more extreme idea to be sure, but an argument worth considering.


But if we’re going to elect a Romney next year, I say go for the fresh one, not the one who’s already proven to be a horrible President. No more Black Romney!


○ (Reply )vizmike August 24th, 2011 at 7:26 pm  
«I’m with VoteSocialist above. I’m afraid we have to give up on the Democrats. In fact, the way they have been playing us, I would be so bold as to say our first consideration in 2012 is to UTTERLY DEFEAT Obama. We need to smash these triangulating betrayers who will clearly achieve nothing but worse going forward. We must make clear that they can not succeed electorally without moving dramatically our way. And if their failure to do so means the end of the Democratic Party, well, good riddance. I’m not happy about it, but that’s how I see our situation.  ///
------------------------------

○○○ To which I can only say that the Democrats are in BIG trouble in 2012 if any significant fraction of their committed, progressive base thinks the way these folks do. I admit I "go there" sometimes, myself, out of sheer frustration with what I see as the cluelessness of Washington Democrats, ESPECIALLY the President, who seems completely oblivious to the FACT that Democrats who FIGHT BACK, and who endorse Labor Issues and Core Democratic Values, consistently do better, and in fact are far more likely to DEFEAT Republicans, when compared to Beltway Obama-style Democrats. The President and the Party leadership better wake up pretty damn soon, or 2012 is going to be a disaster.

23 August 2011

Payroll Tax Cut? or "Go Big, Go Long, Go Global"? Both, I guess

The Republicans have now coalesced around not extending the Payroll Tax "holiday" included in the budget deal last December, which is downright weird, unless you accept the fact (as I do) that they basically hate and couldn't care less about the interests of working and Middle Class people, and care only about the interests of the very rich. So a tax cut that only benefits working people? They don't like it, and won't support it. Makes perfect sense.

So now we read about a "full throated" Democratic push to extend this tax cut.

I was dubious about this idea in the first place. Tax cuts... of any kind... are weak stimulus. And I worry that this undercuts the financial strength of Social Security, which only adds fuel to the Republicans' efforts to portray the program as "in trouble" and "in need of reform." This is actually a ridiculous position on its face in light of the actual facts, which are that Social Security is solvent for decades without any changes. But reducing revenue to the Social Security Trust Fund is not the best way to ensure that Social Security remains protected going forward. Obviously.

Given polling that shows that even a significant majority of Republicans favor increasing taxes on the very richest and closing corporate loopholes (like oil, agribusiness, Pharma; tax breaks for offshoring jobs and assets, etc.), I think the Democrats should focus instead on these areas.

But hey, I get it, that the optics of Republicans fighting for what (in their own formulation, as used in the debate about extending the Bush cuts for the richest) is a tax increase, just works for Democrats.

But let's not lose sight of the fact that most people now get it that the Republicans are fighting for the rich to keep their tax breaks, a very unpopular position. Democrats, and the President, have a historic opportunity to portray the Republicans as out of touch with ordinary people, and working for the interests only of the very rich.

E. J. Dionne, writing in the Post yesterday, urged Obama to "Go Big, Go Long, and Go Global," meaning he needs to make his economic proposals into a major program to revamp the entire economy, as soon as possible. Of course the Republicans will fight tooth and nail; they will anyway. But the President needs a real program that would actually work to run on.

The unbelievable extremity of Rick Perry

I find it hard to keep emotion out of politics these days. To me, the mere appearance of Rick Perry makes it glaringly obvious that he is a Grade-A asshole who cares for nothing but his own plutocratic interests. Now (here), he's made it clear he really does, with no hyperbole, endorse reversing over 100 years of progress by turning the clock back in terms of the role of the Federal government to before Teddy Roosevelt.

Somehow, as dumbed down as the electorate is, and notwithstanding Bush's Brain co-author Jim Moore's prediction that he will "waltz to the nomination," I just can't believe that the American people are going to go along with this crap. 

Or, for that matter, that it will be possible for Perry or the Republican party to walk back from this kind of rhetoric in the run-up to the General Election. 

19 August 2011

White Paper on Extraterrestrial Contact

Penn State & NASA have published what I guess you'd call a "White Paper" titled Would Contact with Extraterrestrials Benefit or Harm Humanity • A Scenario Analysis.
Here. 
(pdf)


UPDATE (8/24):
Having now perused this paper, which I linked to out of a strong interest in the subject, I can report that it is highly conventional and not really particularly interesting (in addition to being written in the usual stiff and tedious Academese). It claims to help us "train our minds" to think about what extraterrestrial contact would actually mean, but it doesn't really add anything to the thought process that many have already accomplished in that area.

18 August 2011

Will the president pivot and start blaming the Rightists for the state of the economy and our nation in general?

I have (less and less frequently since 2009) been accused by some fellow Democrats of my acquaintance of giving up on President Obama. People who think like me retort: oh, no, he's given up on us. But I do see a few signs that in small ways, at least, the White House is beginning to realize that they simply HAVE to stop coddling the Rightists, and start blaming them. Politics is not a graduate seminar. What gets said has to be blunt, pointed, and clearly aligned to a particular interest. And for the President, if he wants to be re-elected, which I assume he does, those interests had better start being the interests of Middle Class and working people. And he'd better start making clear what he wants to do, if the people will just give him the means to do it.

I think the president's greatest weaknesses are these:

1.  He has no natural or learned gift for negotiation. He accommodates others' interests in advance, and just thinks "of course they'll agree, because I've already taken their interests into account!" But that's not how it works. The Rightists see this as weakness, and take advantage of it to get MORE of what they want. So far, for the Rightists, this has worked every time. (Shall I name some? How about massive tax cuts in the original stimulus, (even though real economists all agree they're less than half as effective as direct stimulus), taking single payer and then public option off the table without a fight, giving up on Employee Free Choice Act without a fight, caving on the Bush Tax Cuts for the Rich without a fight, and the long, sad, disgraceful unfolding of the Debt Hostage Crisis. Note most of these occurred when the Democrats still had a majority in both Houses).

2.  Once he became president, he turned off his campaign mode. He fails to understand, or if he understands he fails to act on, the principle that public opinion can be changed by direct appeal, and that a sufficient mass of public opinion still matters in this country. What FDR did with the Fireside chats, and what JFK and Reagan were very good at, i.e., directly appealing to the people for support, this president has done sparsely, without real flare or charisma, and without much effect. He simply has to do better, and make this his main job from now until the election.

Can he turn this around? Of course he can. He's shown himself at times in the past to be a very gifted politician and capable of changing his approach. But whether he will do what needs to be done to consolidate the American people behind him for major Democratic victories in '12, or not, remains to be seen.  

17 August 2011

Michael Keegan on Rick Perry

Michael Keegan, of People for the American Way, has an excellent post up summing up the revolting development that is Rick Perry. Here.

Spitzer's advice to Obama

Never mind any quibbles over the fine details, Elliot Spitzer's advice to the president here  (to require taxpayer subsidized banks to cut upside down mortgages and to free up money from foreign wars to create jobs)...is spot-on, and the White House should call him in right now to discuss it, then act on it as quickly as humanly possible, all the while touting that the president is doing something to help the economy, while the "DO-NOTHING 112th CONGRESS" is dithering (echoing Truman in 1948).


 

Repubs might nominate Perry? Ryan? Hmmm.

I have to admit that I am not entirely upset at the prospect that Perry may overwhelm the current field among the Republicans (not really convinced that's so, but anyway); or that Ryan supposedly might enter the race. I really believe both of these guys, in their very different ways, are inherently unelectable to the presidency.

It's a sad fact that Obama may only be re-electable if the Republicans nominate someone totally unacceptable to the American people, but it looks like they just might.

16 August 2011

Resisting the Rightist Takeover

My new office sign:

DEFEAT of the RIGHTIST 
MINORITY TAKEOVER
of AMERICA will mean 
we have to be prepared to
TAKE TO THE STREETS
in NONVIOLENT PROTEST.
Believe it.
This isn't hyperbole. These people (Ryan, Bachmann, Perry, McConnell, Boehner, Cantor, you name 'em) will stop at nothing, they care not a whit that they are in the minority on almost all major policy matters, and they have consolidated power due in part to congenital weakness in the President and the Democratic party. I'm convinced we will not be able to defeat them without our own Tahrir Square... and it will be coming. 

 

15 August 2011

Buffett: 'Stop coddling the Super-Rich.'

I find it MOST TELLING that Warren Buffett, one of the richest people in the World, said quite definitively recently that the US should raise taxes on the super-rich, and that such a move would not harm investments.

See this.

Gradually, gradually, the people are waking up to the fact that when the agenda driven Republicans make the opposite claim, they are not expressing honest opinions. They are lying.

13 August 2011

Could living things on Earth be descended, in part, from alien life? And some inferences

Could living things on Earth be descended, in part, from alien life? 
 
I've been pondering the whole concept of panspermia and whether it is possible to conclude with reasonable certainty that all life on Earth is of a single origin. 
 
Perhaps my kind reader will remember ~15 years ago, when scientists rather prematurely announced the discovery of Martian fossil microorganisms in a tektite from Mars. (Which led to the speculation that if life could transfer from the Martian orbit to Earth, the more likely direction 4 billion years ago was from Mars to Earth, so maybe Earth life descended from Martian life?) You'll notice, though, that there was hardly any mention of the possibility that Earth life today is a mix of life having separate planetary origins. And this is because there is a scientific paradigm, so far pretty much unshaken, that the genetic code of Earth, and some of its expressions (such as the specific forms of pigment molecules, like chlorophyll and cytochrome), are in some sense arbitrary; i.e., equally likely biochemical processes could have achieved the same or roughly equivalent functionalities, for example, using different base combinations for DNA, or even if DNA exactly in the form it is found on Earth is universally optimal, surely some of the early-evolved and nearly universal proteins found in every living cell on Earth are not; they are simply contingently evolved. In other words, they could just as well have been different—not radically different, but perceptibly different. But they're not. And the simplest, most likely explanation for everything sharing something that's just the way it is by happenstance is that they all share a common origin. All the biochemical markers, then, point to a single common ancestor. 
 
When it was discovered some years back that what had always been referred to as bacteria were actually two entirely separately evolved lines of similar-morphology organisms, with some differences in biochemistry and genetic markers indicating extremely ancient divergence (the Archaea and the Eubacteria), there was a flurry of discussion in the pop sci rags about the possibility that one or the other of them originated elsewhere, and that we do in fact live in a multiple-origin biosphere. 
 
But from what I understand, those who really understand the molecular chemistry involved (which of course I don't at all), quickly squelched that controversy by demonstrating to any reasonable person's satisfaction that the Archaea and the Eubacteria clearly had many contingent elements in common and were all but unquestionably the descendants of a common ancestor. All the serious discussions of the origin of life question seem to agree that all the evidence so far points to the conclusion that all terrestrial life shares a common ancestor; best guess for time frame is more than 3 but less than 4 billion years b.p. There are some outliers (only among the microbes), which are probably remote isolates of rather early populations that struck out in a different direction from most other life, but in a large set of parameters, every cell shares a significant set of common markers. 
 
So, what does this say about panspermia, or the possibility, often touted in science fiction, that in the long history of life on Earth (at least 12 Galactic revolutions of the Sun (=~250 m.y.)), perhaps there had been visitors... whether sentient or incidental (riding on interstellar flotsam), that penetrated the biosphere of Earth. 
 
What can a rational person actually infer about that? 
 
It seems obvious to me, first, that it cannot be categorically ruled out. A meteorite that entered the Solar system from another star system (unlikely, but not spectacularly so), could have intersected Earth's orbit and survived reentry to crash onto the surface, somewhere in all that time. If it had spores or dormant organisms, they could have survived. This, indeed, could conceivably have been the source of the first life on Earth, although that would require a remarkable coincidence and so falls in the category of special pleading insofar as it should be thought of as a theory. 
 
It's also possible that this could have happened and whatever was on the rock just didn't survive. That eventuality is not particularly interesting: it can't be ruled out, but has no real consequences and so leads nowhere. 
 
It's conceivable, although less and less likely as research into the biochemistry of life gets more and more complete, that this happened, and alternate origin life is here, just not yet discovered. 
 
And then there's the possibility that alien intelligent beings traveled here at some time in that vast expanse of time (after all, from the point of view of the likelihood of time enough for intelligent life to evolve, the universe has been more or less as it is now for much if not all of that time). Perhaps these visitors, finding a world already teeming with life, prudently decided to quarantine themselves so as not to contaminate our world. This too, is intriguing, but unprovable, at least for now, and not supported by any evidence, Nazca megaglyphs and whatnot notwithstanding. (The whole popular meme of "ancient astronauts" is a house of cards of pure silliness; if you don't agree, I'll leave it to you to investigate). Anyway, if alien visitation ever did happen, just by the laws of chance, it was probably many millions of years ago. 
 
But what did not happen, I think can reasonably be inferred from the terrestrial biological evidence, is that alien visitors arrived here, walked around in the open air, allowed our planet to interact with the organisms of their native biosphere, and then left. If that had happened, to a pretty high probability I'm pretty sure, there would have been contamination, and some of that alien life would have likely survived here. It might have overwhelmed our biosphere, or, possibly, simply co-existed, evolving perhaps into forms that filled niches to which its particular predispositions fitted it. But there is simply no evidence of this; and from what I understand, if it had happened, there would be. We could tell if a type of fungus or a type of bacteria were descended from a different origin of life than ours. 
 
I suppose you could say, well, maybe life here originated there, but that just takes us back to panspermia, and it seems to me that just defers the origin question anyway. Somewhere, somehow, life had to have originated, and clearly there just hasn't been enough time for life to have originated somewhere else and filled the universe, or even the Galaxy, through panspermia... unless directed by super beings with nearly divine powers... in which case, why in Their name, would they be so secretive? It just doesn't add up, in my mind. 
 
So this brings me to several inferential conclusions:
  1. Life on Earth originated here, and has never mixed with alien life. To a fair certainty.
  2. Intelligent aliens have never visited Earth, or, if they have, they quarantined themselves and left no biological traces.
  3. Since, if spacefaring intelligent civilizations were extremely common, No. 2 above would seem rather unlikely, they are, and have throughout the history of life on Earth, been rare. (This inference requires some background on the evolution of intelligence and the likelihood of space travel, etc., which I've discussed before on the Gyromantic Informicon; what I am referring to as unlikely is that if there had been a lot of visits, they wouldn't all have been successfully quarantined).
I think these are the only reasonable conclusions from the facts. 

Any contrarian comments would be most welcome.  

UPDATE:

In defense of my dismissal above of the idea of "ancient astronauts," I add the following: 

First, although it is conceivable that alien spacecraft could actually enter the atmosphere without contaminating the Earth with alien life (had such contamination occurred,  it would almost certainly have left detectable traces)... it does not appear to me to be likely that any significant intervention in human affairs could have occurred without actual contact with extraterrestrial living things. Which, I reiterate, would almost certainly have left detectable biochemical traces. As Sagan says, the absence of evidence is not the evidence of absence, but the burden of proof is on those making the claim. I submit that since, despite substantial ongoing biochemical research for over a century, no hint of extraterrestrial biochemistry in Earth's biosphere has ever been demonstrated, it is reasonable, using Occam's Razor, to state that to a reasonable certainty there has been no mixing of extraterrestrial life with Earth life at any time.

The next point is that the first point implies, at the very least, that extraterrestrial visits to Earth, which would have at least some probability of introducing such contamination, throughout the history of life on this planet, must have been quite rare, if they occurred at all. Something which has some non-zero probability becomes a near-certainty, given enough time; and if the contamination had ever occurred, it would still be detectable, in all likelihood; there's little reason to just assume that the extraterrestrial life would have died out, every time. So there are three things: (1) a posited nonzero chance of visits, (2) a deduced nonzero chance of contamination, and (3) a deduced relatively high chance that if contamination had occurred, the extraterrestrial life would have survived in some form and would remain detectable and would have been detected by now. Even if you estimate high for (1), low for (2), and minimize (3), either by saying contamination would likely not have occurred or that it wouldn't necessarily have been detected, if you give any reasonable values to these three factors, a large number of visits necessarily implies contamination, and that just does not appear to be the case from all available evidence.

The final point is just how statistically unlikely it is that, in the vast span of Earth's history, one or more of the necessarily small number of visits
(given the first two points) that may have occurred would have occurred recently. Let's stipulate that the likelihood of visitation in any given ten million year period throughout the history of life on Earth has to be treated as approximately equal, let's say x% chance in any given ten million year slot; you can say whether x is vanishingly small or substantial, it doesn't matter for this point. Now, why do I say this? Because the universe as a whole is approximately 13 billion years old, and all galaxies are roughly the same age. There was an early period, during which most stars were mostly hydrogen and helium, but the roughly "current epoch," in which stellar evolution has led to abundant metals and the possibility of planetary environments conducive to life, is at minimum several billion years in duration, so the chance of a civilization achieving technology comparable or superior to ours at any time during the history of life on Earth has to be considered to be relatively constant over time. I don't see how this can really be argued against.

The chance of visitation in 3 billion years is then 300x, which if x is high enough, could approach certainty if you assign any substantial value to x, but that chance is spread equally over the entire time. Since there is no actual evidence that this has ever happened, the chance that it likely happened anytime in human history has to be deemed to be exceedingly small. In other words, let's say there were 10 visits to Earth by aliens in 3 billion years, at random. Just statistically, the chance that even one of them occurred in the last 20,000 years is ~0.007%. Not very realistic odds.

I rest my case.
 

A FINAL COMMENT 
16.Aug.11
   • Just in case anyone has read this and wondered why anyone would care about any of this, since it's all so removed from our everyday concerns, apart from the pure intellectual curiosity of it, which I believe is essential to the survival of the human race, my answer is this:  we have to conclude, as the least unlikely eventuality, that we are effectively on our own as a species. There will likely be no deus ex machina from older and wiser predecessor extraterrestrials, and, as I went into in great detail earlier on the Gyromantic, we are not at any time in the foreseeable future going to have an economically viable alternative habitat to our own Earth. So we better the hell preserve and protect her and make sure she remains habitable. That is probably the essential lesson of our time. 

11 August 2011

Drew Westen in NYT: What happened to Obama?

Drew Westen's piece in the NYT is an absolute must-read. It is a chronicle of failure, of good intentions and missed opportunities. But, primarily, it is a tale of bitter tragedy, because we had a brief moment of real opportunity, but it turned out the man we elected just didn't have the ability to bend the arc of history, to use one of his favorite phrases. Now we are left to try desperately to pick up the pieces.

Some will try to defend the president and say this is too harsh a judgment, but I think not.

10 August 2011

Is Obama even a Democrat?

I thought about writing a post with that title... listing all the policy positions Obama has staked out since the 2010 mid-terms, and how almost all of them are the positions of a conservative Republican, not a Democrat.

But I am thinking better of it. After last night's disappointing showing in Wisconsin (yes, the politically savvy will understand that two out of six recall wins in heavily Republican districts is actually remarkable progress, but the media takeaway is "Democrats fail to take Wisconsin Senate back from GOP)... it's increasingly clear to me that while those of us who adhere to core Democratic values MUST put all the pressure we can on the president to change course and recognize that it is precisely by defending those principles that Obama will gain over the support of independents he needs to be re-elected, we also need to recognize that one of the lessons to be learned from the more politically competent Republicans is that we must direct our energies to defeating them and their ideas, not to tearing down our own leaders.

So, my criticisms of Obama and other Democrats who seem to think that drifting ever rightward towards the ephemeral, or rather, non-existent, "magic Center" is a recipe for victory, will be directed to convincing them that, in fact, it is the opposite: a virtual guarantee of defeat.

09 August 2011

Financial Gyrations

Dean Baker, a progressive economist, referred to S&P, saying "Everybody knows they're a clown outfit," and pointed out that the downgrading of US debt has not been a significant factor in the sell-off prior to today's partial rebound. He noted that most of the money taken out of the stock market went straight into US Treasury bonds, so the downgrade was obviously not having much of an effect.

So what was?

The run on sovereign bonds of Italy and Spain, Europe's fourth and fifth largest economies, that's what. And if the ECB doesn't pour a tonne of money into the Euro system, it could collapse. Then we'd see a financial crisis at least equal to 2008-2009.

The good news is that the ECB probably has no choice but to do just that.

04 August 2011

Michael Lind on the Tea Party phenomenon

Michael Lind, writing in Salon, (here) makes out an excellent case that while the Tea Party trots out its few northern and Midwestern members and portrays itself as ordinary folks angry over Wall Street and ineffective government, its actual political caucus is basically the same old obstructionist White Southern anti-Federalists, who really don't give a damn about the United States (my slant). Which is why they are perfectly willing to play brinksmanship and use terrorist tactics to extort their own way on policy.

03 August 2011

Cantor: forget about Medicare

Satan's amanuensis (aka Eric Cantor) is now promising young Americans that the Evil Ones who Rule will slash Medicare. See this. The colorful rhetoric is intentional. These people have declared that they have no intention to compromise, and that they will use any means, including outright extortion based on their willingness to endanger the economic security of our nation, to get the Minoritarian policy demands enacted. But there will be a backlash, I am sure of it. And here's my response: 
No, you wretched excuse for a human being. You are wrong. This will not stand. We will eliminate you from power and will raise taxes on the wealthiest Americans, eliminate tax loopholes and havens for big business, restore jobs to raise more revenue, and keep our promises to the American people. It is you who are headed for the dustbin of history.
To this goal I pledge my life, my fortune and my sacred honor.
At least they're being honest about what they intend to do. Gives us a good target to aim at.

02 August 2011

My office sign

I put this up in my office: 


The Rightists used

Kidnapper Tactics

to hold America’s economic security hostage  
despite large majorities against their policies.

There’s a word for that:

UNPATRIOTIC.


Demand that the President and Congress

fight back…

VOTE OUT THE RIGHT WING IN ‘12

Olbermann in fine fettle

Keith Olbermann's commentary on the Extortion Catastrophe is dead-on, including the outrage.

Video here or here.

Here's the close:

Where is the outrage to come from?

From you!

It will do no good to wait for the politicians to suddenly atone for their sins. They are too busy trying to keep their jobs, to do their jobs.

It will do no good to wait for the media to suddenly remember its origins as the 'free press,' the watchdog of democracy envisioned by Jefferson. They are too busy trying to get exclusive DETAILS about exactly how the bankrobbers emptied the public's pockets, to give a damn about telling anybody what they looked like, or which way they went.

It will do no good to wait for the apolitical public to get a clue. They can't hear the clue through all the chatter and scandal and diversion and delusion and illusion.

The betrayal of what this nation is supposed to be about did not begin with this deal and it surely will not end with this deal. There is a tide pushing back the rights of each of us, and it has been artificially induced by union-bashing and the sowing of hatreds and fears, and now this ever-more-institutionalized economic battering of the average American. It will continue, and it will crush us, because those who created it are organized and unified and hell-bent.

And the only response is to be organized and unified and hell-bent in return. We must find again the energy and the purpose of the 1960's and early 1970's and we must protest this deal and all the God damn deals to come, in the streets. We must arise, non-violently but insistently. General strikes, boycotts, protests, sit-ins, non-cooperation take-overs - but modern versions of that resistance, facilitated and amplified, by a weapon our predecessors did not have: the glory that is instantaneous communication.

It is from an old and almost clichéd motion picture that the wisdom comes: First, you've got to get mad.

I cannot say to you, meet here or there at this hour or that one, and we will peacefully break the back of government that now exists merely to get its functionaries re-elected. But I can say that the time is coming when the window for us to restore the control of our government to our selves will close, and we had damn well better act before then.

Because this deal is more than a tipping point in which the government goes from defending the safety net to gutting it. This is wrong, and while our government has now declared that it has given up the concept of right-and-wrong, you and I… have not, and will not do so.

Good night, and good luck.

I say, bravo, Keith, and let us all commit: we will stake our lives, our fortunes, and our sacred honor to restoring our government to responsiveness to the people, and wresting it from the special interests who believe they own it, and who care nothing whatsoever either for the will or for the interests of the American people who are its true owners.

01 August 2011

TPM points out how it coulda been worse

This piece in TPM attempts to parse the Extortion Agreement with a thesis that it has some "silver lining." I'm not buying it. We could've done a whole hell of a lot better with some real leadership and willingness to take risks (especially had Obama played the 14th Amendment card). It's bad, really bad, and pointing out that it could have been even worse doesn't really help anything.

I say, VOTE NO, and make the Republicans pass this stinking mess without Democratic votes in the House, and with damn few in the Senate. I'm not naive enough to think a filibuster by Democrats is even conceivable, but I hope the Republicans are forced to sweat out passage in both houses, because they got just about everything they could have hoped for, so they should take the blame. Because blame there will be. And the president will be unable to escape his share.

And now what?

OK, this extortion catastrophe is probably going to pass and we have to go on from here.

What Progressives now need to do is regroup and declare a manifesto.

We must DEMAND from Democrats and President Obama that they commit NOW to fighting what the Minoritarian Rightists have extorted from our broken system, and reversing these policies immediately after the 2012 election, if we can succeed in regaining the House, keeping the Senate, and re-electing the Appeaser in Chief. Who must un-earn that moniker and start leading rather than capitulating time and time again.

I am a lone voice, hardly a whisper in a torrent of voices, all clamoring for attention. But in coming days or weeks I will lay out what I see as the essential argument for Progressives, which we have to direct at the Democrats, because our system, after Citizens United especially, simply will not tolerate a Third Party.

In a nutshell, the people are by and large with us, but they need the issues to be framed and presented with conviction, and their passions must be inflamed to get out the vote. We must clearly articulate how it is that the Republicans are extortionists, who have stolen these policy changes from a constituency that, by large majorities, opposes them. We must clearly, simply, and succinctly demonstrate to the vast majority of Americans that the Rightist Elite is not on their side, and that their interests, and those of their elderly relatives, and their kids' futures, are being stolen from them by the ultra-rich and corporate interests and their obedient servants in Washington, who have demonstrated a stark lack of basic patriotism and the willingness to jeopardize the economic security of our nation to get their Minoritarian way. This cannot stand... we must fight with all resources we have to overcome this usurpation of democracy.

We can win in 2012, and we can reverse this horrible policy shift. But we must have commitment, including from Obama. Without it, we fail, and he will almost certainly lose. And if that happens, the catastrophe we face now will seem mild. 

Please read Krugman on the Default Extortion Catastrophe

PLEASE read Paul Krugman today.
[LINK]

The standard dismissal of Krugman is that he's "shrill," which is nothing but a schoolyard taunt. The fact is that everything he says here is sound, and the news is pretty much all bad.

E-mail to my Congressman: VOTE NO

My e-mail to my Congressman:

Dear Congressman Berman:

I strongly urge a NO vote. This is not a deal, it is a surrender. It does not avert disaster, it IS disaster. The House must defeat this horrible scheme. The president must show real leadership and invoke the 14th Amendment. Government by hostage crisis and extortion must not be capitulated to. Thank you.

David S

UPDATE:  Congressman Berman, unlike Henry Waxman, voted Yes. Needless to say, I'm disappointed in him, but he's been pretty much a party hack for some years now. 

Final Verdict on Debt Deal

Krugman in today's Times is correct: this "deal" is not a deal, but a surrender; it does not avert disaster, it is disaster. Obama's presidency is a failure. I feel quite sure this will be the verdict of history.

I think the declaration of Victory by Boehner and the (Egad!) endorsement by Grover Norquist just about says it all: this president is now to be known as the Capitulator-in-Chief. Or maybe Neville Obama.

31 July 2011

We must now draw the line in the sand: there will be no cuts to Social Security, Medicare or Medicaid or we will march on Washington and shut down the government

How about it, Progressive America?

Debt Deal Horrible for Progressives, America

The so-called debt deal being reported at this moment (Sunday morning) as "in the works", to ...
  • turn over the essential governance of our nation by elected representatives to a designated commission that arbitrarily contains equal representation of both parties, thus guaranteeing that it will not be representative of the demonstrated wishes of the majority of the public
  • force massive cuts in essential spending when it's obvious to everyone with a whit of understanding of how the economy actually works that our economy is slipping, at best, into a secondary recession and more stimulus is what's needed
  • do absolutely nothing to shift the imbalance in revenue to force a larger share to be paid by the wealthiest individuals and by big corporations
  • do nothing to ensure that outsize military spending will bear the brunt of any cuts...
...may achieve the short term goal of avoiding catastrophic default, but it's clearly a disaster for progressives and for America.

I'll just say it: Obama has again betrayed his core supporters, and his re-election is in jeopardy. When, in the last few days especially, it became clear that the Rightists are playing a terrorist game, i.e., holding our entire nation's welfare hostage for their own minoritarian policy demands; he should have taken the bold step of invoking the 14th Amendment, in order to prevent just this catastrophe. The fact that he refused to take that courageous step, to me, guarantees that he will fail ultimately to reverse the trend towards Rightist control of America, and will go down in history as a closer analog to Herbert Hoover than to FDR.

Now what? Well, a long slog, and a great fight, but you cannot fool everyone forever, and I still maintain that the essential elitism and arrogance of the Right is slowly but surely dawning on even the dumbest and most lied to in America, and the populace will not stand for it forever.

29 July 2011

Amazon will not oppose nationally regulated requirement to collect state taxes?!

It begins to look like there is a growing consensus that online retailers like Amazon.com and J & R Music World should be compelled to collect state sales taxes; and Amazon has even signalled that it will not oppose national legislation to make this happen.

See this.

Sanders: Why Americans are so angry

Sen. Bernie Sanders (*my hero*), has written a piece on Huff Post which should be required reading:  "Why Americans are So Angry." (Here).

The unreality only deepens

Now we read where Boehner is adding in a balanced budget amendment to his supposed "compromise" bill. The unreality only gets deeper and deeper.

To my mind, although it is of course somewhat problematical, the President now has no choice but to say:  

"Look, for generations, ever since 1917, the raising of the debt ceiling has been pro forma. Now, the Republicans have decided to try to hold the entire country hostage, at the risk of destroying our economy, in an attempt to extort unpopular policy changes. But the Constitution is actually quite clear: the debt of the United States cannot be questioned. I will see to it, as the President of the United States, that our government pays its bills, no matter what. Now, I call upon Congress to take responsible action to avoid any conflict over this matter, but that is my declaration to the American people: we will not default, we will pay our bills, and I will see to it by whatever means are necessary. Period."

If this president had the forcefulness and will to say this, right now, I believe it would redound to his credit and would avert this manufactured crisis completely and finally. 

28 July 2011

Myths, reality, and non-despair for progressives

I am hardly alone in being absolutely flummoxed by the one-sidedness of the media coverage of the so-called debt crisis. Not to mention the unbelievable supinity of the Democrats, and especially the president, in capitulating, not only to policy extortion by the Rightists at every turn, but to the very framing of the issue by them.

Look, it’s quite simple. As Zaid Jilani writes in thinkprogress.com [here]... if we were to simply get beyond the mythology of Washington, which is totally beholden to the interests of the richest Americans and corporations, and restore the tax code of the 1960s (adjusted for inflation), the debt would disappear in a trice, and we would have plenty of money to rebuild our infrastructure and restore full employment. These are simple economic facts, of which I am confident that if the American people were told the truth in plain English, there would be overwhelming support for just this change. 

The entire concept that we have a "debt crisis," or that we can't afford the basic programs of Social Security, Medicare, and Medicaid, still less the major infrastructure and renewable energy investments that we desperately need to restore our economy to full jobs and productivity, is just false. These statements, which you shamefully hear from Democrats as well as Republicans, and which are all over the media as if they were self-evident truths, are, in fact, deliberate lies, which would only be true if preceded by the qualifying clause, "If we absolutely must keep the enormous disparity of income and lopsided tax system favoring big corporations and the super-rich intact as it currently is...."   But Progressives, and especially our supposedly Progressive president, need to say this: "No, that's not so... we can easily afford these things if only we change the unfair system in place now and make Big Corporations and the Super-Rich pay their fair share."

But the other overriding reality is that in 1955 the top 400 Americans had an average income of $13 million in 2007 dollars and paid 52% of it in Federal Income Tax. In 2007 (the most recent year for which figures are available), the richest 400 had an average income of $170 million and paid less than 15% of it in taxes. These people, and the corporations they run, own the government and manipulate it for their interests. Only when the People take to the streets and demand change will there be change, because this, i.e., nonviolent struggle, is the only effective way to battle entrenched control of political systems, as Gene Sharp, the guru of nonviolent struggle, has masterfully explained. But it’s also true, as in 1933-34, that when things get blatant enough and bad enough,  the tenor of politics can change in a very short time, so there’s no reason for despair.

25 July 2011

Responding to Obama's call

The president has it wrong, again. The American people don't want Congress to COMPROMISE with the unpatriotic, mendacious rightist zealots on the Right. We want the president to use the 14th Amendment to STAND DOWN the Republicans' hostage crisis on the debt and force reform of taxes and end subsidies to corporations; and force NO CUTS to the essential social programs.

America has no debt or deficit crisis. It has a jobs crisis. The President needs to focus on this issue, and say clearly that THERE WILL BE NO DEFAULT period, so forget that, we must move on. The Republicans have no interest in good faith negotiation; they are like the Nazis in 1933... they want to force their unpopular policies and consolidate power regardless of the will of the people. We NEED the president to be the Champion of the People.

The hour is late, but there's no time like NOW for the president to show historic leadership.

24 July 2011

The president, AT LONG LAST, must stand up for Democratic values (e-mail to the White House)

Been on vacation through the last couple of horrible weeks in American politics. Here's my response to the most recent events (e-mail to the White House) :

This idea of a "Super Congress" is not only unconstitutional and antithetical to the very principles of Democracy, it is a very, very bad idea for Democrats. The president must take decisive action, and state flatly that there will be no default on the debt, invoking thereby the 14th Amendment powers. Then he must fight like hell to preserve the programs that are the very hallmark of Democratic policy: Medicare, Social Security, Medicaid, and infrastructure investment to create new jobs, which will mean new revenue and the end of this Depression and its revenue crisis. No other policies will work. The President must, somewhere in his conciliatory heart, know this is true. We are demanding that he stand strong for Democratic values at long last. The time for compromise with the downright UNPATRIOTIC zealots in the other party is past. We, the Democrats who elected Pres. Obama on a promise of POSITIVE change, demand a major course correction and that the president finally stand up for what we elected him to do.

Thank you.

08 July 2011

Krugman: "Let's be frank" (about Obama's failure to stand up for Democratic values!)

Paul Krugman has it exactly right in his op-ed in the Times today:

"Let’s be frank. It’s getting harder and harder to trust Mr. Obama’s motives in the budget fight, given the way his economic rhetoric has veered to the right."

Link to article here. 

07 July 2011

Bring back the guillotines

If the Republicans keep up this kind of pure crap that 95% of the public now sees through:
Can it be long before we hear outcries to bring back the guillotines?

06 July 2011

Yet another e-mail to the White House on the Debt Crisis and the so-called "Nuclear Option"

I urge Pres. Obama to indeed "invoke the nuclear option" of Article IV of the 14th Amendment with regard to the Republican extortion tactics and manufactured "debt crisis." This is pure blackmail, and these people care less about their country and its economic health than they do about extorting political advantage. At the very least, the president will have succeeded in deferring the issue, and deferring artificially created crises is sometimes a way of resolving them, because the whole psychological dynamic will have changed. The president needs to go on television and explain to the American people just what the Republicans are trying to do, why it's bad for America, why it's contrary to what polls show the great majority of Americans want (i.e., preservation of Medicare and Social Security, and focus on jobs, not the deficit in a time of Recession), and he needs to ASK FOR THE PEOPLE'S SUPPORT. This will work, and is a much better strategy than trying to negotiate from a position well inside the "enemy turf" of a manufactured "deficit crisis," when the REAL crisis is the lack of jobs. More jobs = more revenue = deficit problem solved. The president needs to make this crystal clear so that everyone in the country who pays any attention AT ALL to public affairs understands it. Thank you.
David Studhalter

01 July 2011

My letter as a Californian to Amazon.com

Amazon.com
Corporate Relations
1200 12th Ave., Ste. 1200
Seattle, WA    98144 

re:   Sales Tax Issue

To whom it may concern:

Allow me to begin this letter by pointing out that I am a very good customer of Amazon.com (Amazon Prime), purchasing several hundred dollars’ worth of merchandise, at a minimum, each year. I have become accustomed, and appreciative, of the efficiency and convenience Amazon offers its customers. One of the beguiling aspects of online purchasing for many folks has always been that it was a great deal to be able to avoid sales taxes.

I have, however, recently come to the realization that this is profoundly mistaken. It is human nature not to voluntarily pay taxes; taxes are a price of civilization, not a voluntary donation. But that does not make it legitimate to participate in schemes which deprive states of a large share of commercial revenues which under former circumstances would have been collectible as a matter of course.

As everyone knows, many states in the United States, in the wake of the Wall-Street caused financial collapse and Depression (calling it what it is), are in desperate financial condition. My state of California is in one of the worst situations in the entire nation.

As you of course know, our state has decided to try to force the issue of collection of sales taxes on online purchases from Amazon and other online retailers which have significant business connections to the state. In an attempt to circumvent this (despite having falsely claimed in the past that the sales tax issue was not a major factor in their marketing strategy), Amazon has said it will sever ties to various affiliated agents and entities in order to maintain what, in my view, is tantamount to a legal fiction that they do not do business in California and therefore cannot be forced to pay sales taxes.

The fact is that the era when online businesses needed special considerations, to build what were initially fragile and unprofitable business systems, are long over. Amazon has been instrumental in the demise of brick and mortar independent booksellers, and more recently, Borders. That’s just a fact; for good or ill. But the rationale for a major tax break, if it once existed, has ceased to exist, and the needs of society for effective commercial revenue streams in order to fund the essential services provided by states must take precedence.

For this reason, I urge you, as a good corporate citizen, to change your policy, and to accept the right of the states to impose sales taxes on online purchases rather than pursuing a policy that amounts to evasion of the rightful burden of sharing in the cost of government. After all, the taxes are actually levied upon the customers in the states where they reside, and it is only a question of whether you, as a retailer, are required to collect those taxes.

By now, the convenience and other efficiencies of online commerce have established themselves. Of course, since Amazon is able, through arguably legal tax evasion, to offer a substantial price advantage over in-state sources (of whichever respective state may be at issue), there would be some impact on the vaunted “bottom line.” But this is an issue of fundamental fair dealing and the duty of all citizens to pay the fair share of the cost of maintaining the essential services of our states. All businesses are entitled to a level playing field, but that translates to the equally valid principle that no businesses are entitled to structural advantages based on arbitrary considerations which give them an unfair advantage. When online retailing was a novelty and a tiny fraction of commerce, it didn’t matter so much and no one made too much of an issue of it. But that time has past.

I believe that it ultimately comes down to a moral issue. We must all pay (and online retailers must refrain from enabling customers not to pay) our fair share, or we are in default of our moral and legal obligations as honest citizens. While individuals cannot be expected to go out of their way to voluntarily pay taxes, corporate citizens have an obligation to do business ethically and in a manner that is consistent with good corporate citizenship. The current tax policies of Amazon.com, in my view, completely fail this test and must be changed.  

I request the favor of a reply. Thank you.

Another message to White House on "Debt Crisis"

The president's press conference earlier this week was an OK start, but please read Talkingpointsmemo.com today "What's Wrong with this Picture." The fact is that large majorities of the electorate agree that taxes need to go up for the very rich, and tax loopholes for corporations need to be closed. The vast majority say that ANY cuts to Social Security are EXTREMELY unpopular. And it's clear that most people don't really understand what it means to "raise the debt limit," so polling showing a plurality "against" that are essentially meaningless. But Josh Marshall is right. The Administration and Congressional Democrats MUST stop giving in to the hostage mentality of the Republicans. They must use whatever options, including Constistutional power to protect the full faith and credit of the debt, and TAKING THE MESSAGE DIRECTLY to the people, to force the Republicans to back down; or, failing that, to simply not give in to them. The President can and must protect the integrity of the debt, and he needs to assure financial markets that that WILL HAPPEN no matter what. This will take away the extortion power of the unpatriotic and undemocratic leadership of the Republican party, which is willing to play a dangerous game with the economic health of the entire nation and the ability of our nation's government to function.

Thank you.